New snow was high moisture content. At 15:00 I was observing between 4-7" on new dense snow at 9,200' by Silver Lake, East of Clayton peak. Observed more new snow at a protected NNE at 9,200' than at 9,700 entering the wind zone. Snow is good base building material, and I wouldn't have been surprised if there was around an inch of water in the new snow.
The tipping point is here. With an estimated inch or more of water in this heavy wet snow we are overloading the strength of the weak snow below. Surprised by how connected the storm slab was. I would expect this problem to extend into the weak snow in the mid pack, possibly going close to the ground. With the density of the new snow and the still shallow pack, I would not want to be involved in taking even a small ride.
Although the storm slab is the most observable concern, due to it failing or stepping into the old PWL's this is really a persistent slab problem. I was surprised by how connected the slab is evidenced by the size of the collapses I was observing.
Road cut avalanches