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Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Friday morning, December 12, 2025

Human triggered avalanches are unlikely but small avalanches may be possible on isolated terrain features. The most likely areas to find trouble will be on steep, north through east through southeast facing slopes fresh hard slabs of wind-drifted snow have accumulated on top of weak, sugary, faceted snow. These areas may sound or feel hollow underneath. Cracking is a sign of instability. Overall coverage is quite thin, and the avalanche danger will be largely isolated to areas with the deepest and most continuous snow cover. Even a small avalanche can have consequences in low snow conditions.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements

SAVE THE DATES!

Saturday, December 13 - 4th Annual Moab Winter Kickoff Party at the MARC. Bring your skis or board to wax, listen to live music, and bring in another winter season with our local community. Tickets are available now.

Friday, January 30 - Saturday, January 31 - Moab Backcountry 101 Class - Our annual local backcountry avalanche class. Click here for information and registration. Moab and Monticello locals can use the discount code MOAB-LOCAL for a 10% discount.

Weather and Snow
High pressure dominates the region and the heatwave will continue through the weekend. The first hint of a pattern change comes mid next week as the flow shifts to more westerly but there really isn't any indication of moisture for our area until at least the winter solstice.
Click here to read observations from the Abajo Mountains
NWS forecast for the Abajo Mountains.
Wind speed and direction on Abajo Peak.
Snow totals and temps at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals and temps at Camp Jackson (8858')
Additional Information

It's never too early to start thinking about avalanches. Here are a few things to consider doing:

  • Learn online. We have over 5 hours of free online learning at the Know Before You Go website
  • Check out the upcoming in-person Know Before You Go events HERE
  • Sign up for an on-snow class
  • Check out the UAC's education progression HERE
  • Get your avalanche rescue gear ready for winter. Put fresh batteries in your transceiver and update the firmware. Inspect your shovel and probe. Get your airbag backpack ready by possibly doing a test deployment and updating the firmware if it is an electric version or getting your canister refilled if it's not electronic.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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