Join us at our 2nd Annual Blizzard Ball

Forecast for the Salt Lake Area Mountains

Dave Kelly
Issued by Dave Kelly on
Saturday morning, April 1, 2023
The avalanche danger is HIGH at mid and upper elevations due to recent heavy snowfall, wind transported snow, and today's forecasted sun and clear skies. Avalanches may break 2-3' feet deep and 100-200' feet wide. The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE at the lowest elevations.

Give yesterday's storm time to settle out and stick to terrain under 30 degrees. Travel in and below avalanche terrain is not recommended.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Avalanche Warning
An avalanche warning is in effect from now until 6am on Sunday April 2, 2023 for the Mountains of Northern Utah.
Recent heavy snowfall and strong winds have created dangerous avalanche conditions in the backcountry. Human triggered and avalanches are likely. Travel in avalanche terrain is not recommended. Stay off of and out from under slopes steeper than 30 degrees.
Weather and Snow
Yesterday, ski areas at the top of the Cottonwood Canyons broke the 800" mark and many ski area and mountain operations reported record breaking March snow totals.
This morning under partly cloudy skies, trailhead temperatures are in the mid 20's ˚F and ridgetop temperatures are in the mid-teens ˚F. Winds are blowing west-southwest in the teen's gusting to the 20's MPH at the 9,000' ridgelines and southwest in the 30's gusting to the 50's at the 11,000' ridgelines. Some mountain locations reported a trace to an inch of additional snow overnight.
For today, skies will be clear with clouds building later this afternoon. Temperatures will be spring like rising to 36-40˚F, and winds will gradually increase from a southwest direction 25 gusting to 35 at the 9,000' ridgelines and 35 gusting to 65 MPH at the 11,000' ridgelines. No precipitation is expected today.

Storm Totals/Snow Water Equivalent since Wednesday and Snow Depths
  • Upper Cottonwoods 33-47" snow/1.92-2.73" water with snow depths from 109-229"
  • Park City Ridgeline 24-27" snow/1.75-2.1" water with snow depths from 113-131"
  • Ogden Area Mountains 26-38" snow/ 2.9-3.8" water with snow depths from 137-222"
  • Provo Area Mountains 18-19.5" snow/ 1.25-1.5" water with snow depths from 101-168"

The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Watch from Sunday April 2- Tuesday April 4th with another 20 to 30" of snow with locally higher amounts up to 4' in the Cottonwoods and Davis County mountains.
Recent Avalanches
Yesterday backcountry riders and mountain operations reported sensitive avalanche conditions. There were delays and closures due to avalanches on highways throughout the Wasatch including low elevation roads affected in the Ogden Area Mountains.

A natural avalanche in West Porter got my attention because of how much exposure there is to overhead avalanche terrain in Porter Fork. Other avalanches were observed or initiated in Bear Trap, Mill-D, and Short Swing.

Recent snowpits showed us a handful of weak layers now buried 3-5' deep, and today is not a day I would want to play the "am I good or am I lucky game".
Photo of avalanche debris in West Porter (Photo Blanchard)
Check out all observations HERE.
Ad
Avalanche Problem #1
New Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Heavy snowfall over the last week has created sensitive soft slabs of storm snow. Avalanches may fail within today's storm snow or on one of many deeply-buried interfaces within the storm snow. Avalanches failed down into these deeply-buried layers even prior to this last storm in locations such as Two Dogs, Ant Knolls, Rainbow Peak, and Mill B South. These are the size of avalanches you are likely to see today.

Storms have been and continue to be stacked and brief breaks of sun have created a crust/facet sandwich in isolated areas that could cause deep and wide avalanches. The Upper Cottonwoods smashed through the 800" snowfall mark yesterday. This is a lot of snow and this makes for complex layering in the top layers of the snowpack. UAC director Mark Staples discusses snowpack layering HERE.
Avalanche Problem #2
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Moderate to strong south/southwest winds have an abundance of soft snow to transport and you will find sensitive slabs of wind-drifted snow at the upper elevations as well as some mid elevation slopes. Triggering an avalanche involving a recent or fresh wind drift may step down into one of the deeply-buried interfaces.

The cornices are immense and recent winds have only added to their size and sensitivity. Cornices may break off naturally, triggering an avalanche onto the slope below. Travel well-back from corniced ridgelines and do not travel below a slope with cornices above.
On Thursday this avalanche in Two Dogs was triggered by a natural cornice fall and broke an estimated 6' deep and several hundred feet wide. (Photo C. Hawley).
Avalanche Problem #3
Wet Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Today's heating will INCREASE the avalanche danger on solar aspects. Steep rocky gully features on the sunny side are of concern. Expect to see wet loose avalanches with an off chance of seeing wet slab avalanches that may run into lower elevation terrain. Snow doesn't like rapid change and today is the first day that this new snow will see direct sun and increased temperatures. This wet snow hazard can be avoided by staying off of sun-heated slopes during the warmest hours of the day. Roller-balls and pinwheels are signs that it is time to find another slope.

Any mountain homes with snow on the roof will be suspect as the sun warms things up. Stay away from roof lines and check to make sure children playing and adults shoveling are clear of roof lines once the sun heats up.
General Announcements
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.