Remember to treat ski areas as backcountry terrain and check each resort's travel restrictions on the Resort Uphill Policy page before accessing their terrain.
The ski areas are getting ready for their operating seasons to start so please be respectful of equipment and employees both on and off the slopes.
Give snowcats and snowmobiles a wide berth as they move around their terrain.
Happy November!
Coverage is excellent with 15-30" of supportable base on the mid and upper elevation northerly aspects in the upper Cottonwoods and 12-18" along the Park City ridgeline. The Ogden are mountains have just 2-6" on the ground while the Provo mountains hold 6-12" in the upper elevations. East through south through west aspects are crusted if not bare. But still. Alta ski area recorded 37.5"/4.24" (snow-water-equivalent) for the month of October, but it wasn't Winter 04/05. I wrote the following in that season's Annual Report:
"
Winter kicked into high gear on October 17th with measurable snow falling every day but one through Halloween. Alta ski area recorded a phenomenal 122โ of snow over those two weeks with 14.85โof water. Much of the deluge came in warm on a southwesterly flow which evenly blanketed the northern mountains, but kept the snow levels around 8000โ and higher. We looked back to the old Atwater/LaChapelle records dating back to 1945 and confirmed that not only did we smash snow and water records for October, but did so in just two weeks!" (You can access all of our Annual Reports since the early 1980s
HERE)
Upper Little Cottonwood did finish that season with over 700", but make no mistake: Utah also suffered eight backcountry fatalities that winter.
WEATHER SITUATION:
A potent Pacific storm is on the doorstep, which should be no surprise to anyone experiencing the very warm mountain temps (mid to upper 40s!) and punishing southerly winds (gusts to 50mph along the ridgelines). Snowfall on a southerly flow should begin in earnest during the Wednesday morning commute and I expect heavy snowfall throughout the day. 8-14" can be expected by early evening with snowfall continuing through midday Thursday. Storm totals look to be 12-18" or more with perhaps 1.5" snow water equivalent. Mountain temperatures drop to the upper teens by Wednesday afternoon with snow levels flirting with the valley benches. Temperatures continue falling to near the upper single digits by Thursday. Southwest winds will crank 40-50mph Tuesday night before veering to the northwest and losing steam by midday Wednesday.
Unsettled weather along with a warming trend is expected for Friday through the early weekend. Sunday/Monday is barely a break before the another significant storm system reloads for late Monday through mid-week. We'll see.
AVALANCHE SITUATION:
For Wednesday, I anticipate two main avalanche concerns.
Wind slabs: Hard old wind slabs and soft new winds slabs. First, owing to the searing southerly winds, pockets of hard but shallow wind slab will exist in steep avalanche prone terrain, particularly on steep northerly aspects. These hard drifts may also be scattered in and around terrain features such as gullies, around rocky outcrops or at the base of cliffbands. Remember that hard slabs tend to break above you and may be difficult to escape in confined terrain. These hard drifts will be covered by the new snow and new wind drifts. Bruce Tremper used to call this new snow "sucker snow" because the powder would lure you onto the hidden drifts beneath them. Take note. Shooting cracks are good indicators of instability, but may not always be present.
New Snow avalanches: Second, new snow instabilities spike during periods of heavy snowfall. Both loose snow sluffing and soft slab avalanches may be encountered in the steeper terrain of all aspects. The new snow is expected to bond poorly to the weak recrystallized faceted snow on the upper elevation northerly terrain and also poorly to the slick pre-existing sun crusts on the solar aspects.
It should be noted that AVALANCHE SEASON is upon us. Last weekend's storm brought a number of natural and human triggered avalanches with at least one skier caught, carried, and dragged through some rocks.
Check out our
observations page for the latest updates from around Utah. Please keep these observations coming.