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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Monday morning, January 12, 2026

Human-triggered avalanches are possible today, but fairly unlikely. A "pockety" MODERATE avalanche danger is present on steep slopes above about 9500 feet that face NW, N, NE, and E. The danger trend will continue to decrease until we see a significant weather change.

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Weather and Snow

General Conditions: I found the snow quality to be still quite good in sheltered terrain on Sunday. It consists of dense loose powder on the surface. Despite how shallow the snow is, the snowpack remains mostly supportable, making for fairly easy travel on skis or snowmobiles. Temperatures are warm. Overnight lows were only in the upper 20s to around freezing. Wind is almost non-existent.

Mountain Weather: Sun and warm temperatures are all I see ahead for us. We'll see high temperatures into the mid 30s today. Light wind will be from the northwest increasing in speed later on. The rest of the week looks similar with some periods of stronger north wind. Literally, no storms are in sight.
Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
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Description

The snowpack continues to settle and stabilize. I have not experienced any cracking or collapsing over the last few days. I have not seen nor heard of any significant avalanches. Snow pit tests have been non-reactive. The weak sugary snow near the ground did gain a small amount of strength over the last week. All this points to mostly stable conditions. The trend will be a continued decrease in avalanche danger until more storms roll through.

There are a number of backcountry observations that have been submitted since Jan 3 that describe what people have been seeing. If you want to sift through them, you can find them HERE.

General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.