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| Advisory: Ogden Area Mountains | Issued by Drew Hardesty for Thursday - November 13, 2014 - 7:52am |
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bottom line No avalanche danger exists at the moment. However, with a storm in the forecast for today through Saturday, new snow amounts may be great enough to increase the avalanche danger on the upper elevation northwest, north and northeasterly facing slopes that have a shallow base of weak, faceted snow. We'll update the avalanche forecast as the snow arrives and through the weekend.
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special announcement To those skinning uphill at resorts: it is your responsibility to know the resort policy on uphill travel. Some allow uphill travel and have guidelines, some don't. Contact the Ski Patrol at each resort for details. IMPORTANT: Before skinning at a resort under new snow conditions, check in with Ski Patrol. Resorts can restrict or cut off access if incompatible with control and grooming operations. Stay tuned for uphill closures over the next week or two as resorts get their terrain open. None of the mountain resorts are open for the season and you must treat the snow as a backcountry snowpack. It was exactly three years ago today - Nov 13, 2011 - when over 8 people were caught and carried in separate events in the unopened terrain in upper Little Cottonwood, resulting in a broken femur in upper Albion Basin and a tragic fatality in the Gad Valley. Here's Evelyn's forecast the following day.
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current conditions Snow in the mountains, snow in the valleys. Snow began in the early hours this morning with a trace to two noted across the range. Temps have warmed under the warm air advection ("warm front") regime from - in some cases - below zero and the single digits to the single digits and teens. Winds are northwesterly and blowing 15-20mph with some gusts to 35/40. At this point in the game, the northwest to north to northeast slopes above about 9500' have 6-8" of weak faceted snow leftover from the Halloween/El Dia de Los Muertos storm at the beginning of the month. Reports from the Ogden mountains only have a couple patchy faceted inches in the highest northerlies. (Mark White photo below from a couple days ago followed by Evelyn's)
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| type | aspect/elevation | characteristics |
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LIKELIHOOD
 LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
 LARGE
SMALL
TREND
 INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
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You can check out a couple recent observations HERE and HERE. If we pick up more snow than expected over the next several days, the new wind drifts may become reactive to human weight and provocation, though confined to that narrow sliver of terrain with pre-existing snow. Remember it's not too early, Crested Butte backcountry has already had a couple catch-and-carry avalanche incidents this season. In the meantime, check out our Education schedule here - we have a few free Avalanche Awareness classes coming up. We have a guest Blog post from long time observer Todd Leeds about getting ready for the early season - |
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weather Just look outside the door and you'll know that Old Man Winter has returned. We'll see on and off snow accumulations through the early part of the weekend under a moist westerly flow. Though I expect more wind than anything, snow amounts may reach 4-8", with areas north of I-80 favored by the storm track. Temps will continue to rise to the upper teens and low 20s. Winds will should shift to the southwest and blow 30-40mph along the highest ridgelines, generally through Saturday. A high amplitude ridge builds over the west coast early weekend, drawing Arctic temps in to Utah on a brisk northerly flow, with temps dropping to the low single digits by late Sat/early Sunday. The ridge moves overhead early in the week. |
general announcements
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