Avalanche Advisory
Advisory: Moab Area Mountains Issued by Eric Trenbeath for Wednesday - January 28, 2015 - 7:28am
bottom line

Today the danger remains a ​MODERATE for triggering a persistent slab on steep, upper elevation slopes with a NW-N-E aspect, particularly in rocky areas that have a thin, shallow snowpack.




current conditions

La Sal Mountains

After yesterday's moist and warm weather, things have cooled off and we had a good solid re-freeze last night. It is currently 15 degrees on Pre Laurel Peak and 21 in Gold Basin. SW winds are light along ridge tops. There isn't much more to add in describing our tired and worn snow surface. The pictures below say it all.

Wind damaged snow in Gold Basin.


Thin cover and sun affected snow on southerly aspects above La Sal Pass.

Wind speeds and temperature at 11,700' on Pre-Laurel Peak.

New snow totals and temperature at Geyser Pass Trailhead.

New snow totals and temperature in Gold Basin.

Abajo / Blue Mountains.

Low snow conditions prevail but soft snow can be found on sheltered terrain below tree line. In these areas the base depth ranges from 20-30" of snow. Sunnier aspects remain extremely shallow.

Winds and temperature on Abajo Peak.

Snow total at Buckboard Flat.


recent activity



Avalanche Problem 1
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

Though the the likelihood of triggering a persistent slab is very isolated, there are still places out there where you could encounter this problem. The danger for triggering a persistent slab exists on upper-mid to upper elevation slopes steeper than 35 degrees that have a NW-N-E aspect, particularly in areas of rocky terrain that have a thin shallow snowpack.

weather

The weak system that was over our area yesterday as moved on and today we should see mostly sunny skies, light westerly winds, and high temperatures in the mid 30's at 10,000'. Another system will move into our area Thu-Sat. Confidence in significant snow amounts aren't high as it looks like it may dive to the south.

general announcements


Road Conditions: The road is plowed and clear. 

Grooming Conditions: Trails are scheduled to be groomed on Monday and Friday. 

Observations: If you are out and about, I would love to know what you are seeing. Please post your observations here.

EMAIL ADVISORY  If you would like to get the daily advisory by email you will need to subscribe here.​ 

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This advisory is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always exist. This advisory will be updated on Thursday, January 22.