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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Issued by Brett Kobernik for Saturday, April 16, 2022
We have a generally LOW avalanche danger today.
There may be some wet snow avalanche activity today as things warm and the snow becomes damp.
Avoid being on and below steep slopes when the snow becomes really wet and mushy.
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions
Snow conditions changed dramatically on Friday as temperatures warmed and made the snow damp on all aspects and elevations. Overnight temperatures again hovered around freezing or higher. These warm temperatures are taking a toll on the riding conditions. Southwest wind has slowed and is fairly light.
Mountain Weather
We're going to see cloud cover today with high temperatures into the low 40s. A minor storm system is going to push through from the southwest this afternoon. We should see some snowfall as the day goes on with 1 to 3 inches possible by Sunday morning. We go into a significant warm up starting Sunday and lasting most of the week. There is a storm on the horizon shaping up for around next Friday.
Recent Avalanches
There was some minor wet snow avalanche activity on Friday. The most significant slides I noticed were in upper south Lake Fork where some larger cornices broke off due to daytime heating. They slid down the entire length of the east facing bowl. I viewed these from a distance so I'm not really sure how much debris they entrained as they descended.
Avalanche Problem #1
Wet Snow
We have slid into a more typical springtime snow and weather pattern. We no longer have big concerns for the old mid winter weak layer that is buried 3 to 5 feet deep now. Your biggest concerns revolve around daytime heating. The rule of thumb is that when things get really wet and sloppy, avoid steep terrain. Avoid being down in gullies and ravines with steep walls. If you are punching deep into the snowpack with your boots, the danger of wet avalanches is increasing.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.