Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik for
Thursday, March 10, 2022
DANGEROUS CONDITIONS EXIST TODAY. THE DANGER WILL LINGER INTO THE WEEKEND.
There is a CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger on the Manti Skyline.
Human triggered avalanches are likely on upper elevation northwest, north, northeast and east facing steep slopes.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions
Storm totals are 8 to 10". The new snow fell on top of settled powder so it really feels deep in many places. There was some wind with this storm. It was definitely gusty during the day on Wednesday and it was stirring up the snow and forming drifts. It slowed down overnight and is pretty light now. Temperatures have continued to drop and they are around 10˚F this morning.
Mountain Weather
The storm is over and we'll see lingering clouds and maybe some clearing as the day goes on. Temperatures are going to remain cold with most locations staying at around 10˚F. Northwest wind should remain fairly light with some moderate speeds along the higher terrain. Friday is clear with highs in the low 20s. Saturday is also clear with warmer temperatures.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The additional snow and wind from the storm enhances the chance for triggering an avalanche that breaks into weak sugary faceted snow. The Persistent Weak Layer that formed in Jan/Feb is still quite active. The most likely places to trigger an avalanche are steep slopes in the upper elevations that face northwest, north, northeast and east. Wednesday's wind is a significant factor. Wind almost always makes for dangerous avalanche conditions especially when combined with a buried weak layer. The only thing you can do to stay safe is to avoid steep upper elevation northerly through east facing slopes.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.