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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik for
Monday, December 5, 2022
CONTINUED DANGEROUS AVALANCHE CONDITIONS EXIST!!
The avalanche danger remains CONSIDERABLE today. Human triggered avalanches are likely.
  • The key to safety is to avoid being on or below slopes that are steeper than 30˚
  • These avalanches can be triggered remotely (from a distance away) so it is important to watch for steep slopes above you
  • Avalanche conditions are going to remain dangerous for some time to come
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Special Announcements
FREE AVALANCHE AWARENESS PRESENTATION: Weds, Dec 7 at Tucker High Adventure Tours in Beaver, UT. MORE DETAILS HERE
Join the Utah Avalanche Center and the Division of Outdoor Recreation to celebrate the Fourth Annual Avalanche Awareness week, from December 4 - December 11. CLICK HERE to view the full list of events for the week.
Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: Temperatures were unusually warm on Sunday making the snow damp at lower and mid elevations. Things are cooling slowly and most locations are in the mid 20s F. Moderate speed southwest wind has been notable overnight. 1 to 2 inches of snow has accumulated as of 7am and it's snowing.
Mountain Weather: We'll have cloudy skies and periods of snow today and tonight. It looks as if the north half of the Skyline will fair the best as far as snow totals. By Tuesday morning we should see 3 to 5 inches of new snow there. The southern end might only see a trace to an inch. Moderate speed wind will continue from the southwest today and then switch northwest with colder air moving in. The next significant system is shaping up for the weekend.
Recent Avalanches
During fieldwork on Sunday I remotely triggered an avalanche from about 300 feet away. It was on a steep slope above a road that I was traveling on. As I was approaching the slope I didn't feel comfortable going underneath it and I was turning around when I saw the slope release. DETAILS HERE
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The pattern is very clear to me. Weak snow (a Persistent Weak Layer of faceted snow) that formed in mid November is now buried and is failing under the weight of the new snow. This will continue to happen over the next few weeks. The avalanches will get larger with each new storm. This is a dangerous situation. Continue to avoid slopes steeper than 30˚ and stay out from underneath steep slopes as well.
Additional Information
SKYLINE AVALANCHES & OBSERVATIONS
CAMERAS & WEATHER STATIONS
INSTAGRAM: SKYLINE_AVALANCHE
FACEBOOK: SKYLINE AVALANCHE
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This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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