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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Sunday morning, January 18, 2026

The majority of the terrain on the Manti Skyline has a LOW avalanche danger. Continue to identify wind drifts and wind slabs and avoid them if they are on very steep upper elevation slopes. It is unlikely that they will crack out at this point in time but if you were to find trouble out there today, this is where it would be.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow

General Conditions: No significant change in conditions. The snow surface continues to turn into sugar through the "Near Surface Faceting" process. This is bad news for us in the long run as this will probably be a weak layer of concern once it is buried. (See An Introduction to Snow Metemorphism for more info) Temperatures are fairly warm this morning with many stations in the upper 20s. Wind is light from the northwest.

Mountain Weather: Today will be the warmest day of the week with sun and temperatures nearing almost 40°F. Wind continues from the north in the light to moderate speed category. High pressure is expected to persist for the foreseeable future. Weather models continue to hint at a minor disturbance around Thursday/Friday but it's looking like it'll mainly just bring clouds and some cooler temperatures. There is nothing advertised after that, and as of now, it looks like we'll close out January without any more snow.
Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

There is no significant avalanche problem to be concerned about right now. The snowpack continues to weaken but is currently stable. About the only place you could get something to possibly crack out and move would be in the upper elevation very steep terrain where a wind drift or wind slab is sitting on top of weak faceted snow. Even if you find that setup, it is unlikely to collapse and fail at this time.

Additional Information
SKYLINE AVALANCHES & OBSERVATIONS
CAMERAS & WEATHER STATIONS
INSTAGRAM: SKYLINE_AVALANCHE
FACEBOOK: SKYLINE AVALANCHE
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This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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