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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Saturday morning, January 17, 2026

The majority of the terrain on the Manti Skyline has a LOW avalanche danger. Keep in mind that LOW danger doesn't mean NO danger. There's lots of weak faceted snow around and if you find an area that has a drift or wind slab sitting on top of it, it may crack out. Very steep slopes in the higher terrain are where to pay attention.

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Weather and Snow

General Conditions: The snow surface is pretty worn out from sun and wind this week. You'll find a variety of crusts out there. However, if you sniff around, you can still find soft settled snow that makes for decent riding. Despite the ongoing faceting (weakening) of our snowpack, it remains fairly supportable, making for decent travel on machines and skis. Temperatures cooled slightly from earlier in the week with highs in the mid to upper 20s on Friday and dropping into the teens overnight. It got a little windy overnight from the northwest.

Mountain Weather: High pressure continues to dominate our weather. It'll be another sunny day up in the mountains with high temperatures in the mid to upper 20s. Breezy northerly wind will slow as the day goes on. Sunday is sunny again with warmer temperatures and light wind. There is no storm in sight. Weather models continue to hint at some sort of minor disturbance around the 22nd but it's not looking like we'll see any significant snow.
Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
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Snow conditions are quiet, and human-triggered avalanches are unlikely. I feel comfortable enough to prowl around in some steep upper elevation terrain. I've been assessing the snowpack in some of the steep starting zones for future snow loads, if we ever actually get another snow load. The one thing I am watching out for while I'm trying to get into this steep terrain is wind-drifted snow. Wind drifts and slabs should be avoided because I can almost guarantee that they are sitting on buried faceted snow and they could crack out on you.

Photo below: example of a wind slab that cracked but didn't release - Patrick Kessler (FULL OBSERVATION HERE)

General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.