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Forecast for the Salt Lake Area Mountains

Nikki Champion
Issued by Nikki Champion on
Tuesday morning, January 28, 2020
Today, a MODERATE avalanche danger exists on all mid and upper-elevation slopes. Wind drifts remain the primary concern and are most pronounced on steep north to east to south facing slopes...and not isolated to leeward slopes above 11,000 feet. After yesterday's storm, there remains a chance for triggering a shallow soft slab avalanche in the new snow in the upper elevations as well. Look for any signs of wind drifted snow, and avoid those slopes.

A LOW avalanche danger exists on all low elevations, where generally safe avalanche conditions exist.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Yesterday's storm system over delivered with storm totals in the upper Cottonwoods between 10-15"(.75-1.51" SWE) and 5-7"(.60 SWE) along the Park City ridgeline. Northwesterly winds stayed elevated all day averaging in the mid-teens and gusting into the 30s mph at ridgetops. The uppermost elevations, above 11,000' feet, saw consistent gusts above 70 mph until 9:00 PM last night.
This morning, mountain temperatures are in the low 20s F at trailheads and mid-teens F at ridgetops. Winds are currently still northwesterly averaging in the single digits to low teens with gusts up to 20 mph.
Today, another disturbance will move through the area bringing temperatures in the mid-30s and another 4-7 inches of snow late this afternoon into early Wednesday morning. Winds will be westerly average 10-25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph at the highest ridgelines.

Looking down the road, weekend ridgetop temperatures may reach into the mid-40s F! The heatwave should be brief; however, the models do bring a strong cold front on Monday.
Recent Avalanches
Yesterday multiple new avalanches were reported in the backcountry, most of these avalanches were soft slabs of new snow or wind drifted snow which failed on the new snow, old snow interface between 4"-12" inches deep. These avalanches were reported on North, East, and South mid and upper elevation aspects. While the exact time occurrence for all of these avalanches is unknown, most were reported to be rider triggered and few could have been natural during the highest snowfall rates overnight.
Heat map representation of yesterday's activity (note the low elevation north avalanche was the wet slab as reported by Grainger).
A great example of the avalanches seen yesterday from S. Monitor Bowl, a skier triggered an avalanche on a northeast aspect that failed 12" deep was 100 feet wide and ran 400 feet. See full observation HERE. (Photos: M. White)
One outlier avalanche reported was a wet slab avalanche that occurred on Mount Olympus likely during the very early morning hours of Monday when warm precipitation had saturated the entirety of snow stuck to the steep rock slabs and released fully. This avalanche was 400 feet wide on a north aspect, at 7,500 feet, and ran for 500 feet. You can find the full observation HERE.
Ski areas reported both sensitive soft slabs, and surprising large wind drifts of snow which were large enough to bury a person. In both the resorts and the backcountry these avalanches are running long and fast on a variety of old bed surfaces.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Yesterday winds remained strong enough to drift snow throughout the day, with gusts above 70 mph at the highest of ridgelines. Today these drifts will be most widespread on north through east and south-facing slopes, especially at the highest most elevations. However, high winds can deposit snow around terrain features on almost any aspect, called cross-loading. For this reason, I would expect to find sensitive slabs of wind drifted snow at all upper and mid-elevation slopes, especially along with terrain features such as ridgelines, sub ridges, and gullies.
Today continue to look for slopes with any signs of wind drifted snow, such as cracking, hollow noises, and pillow-shaped snow and avoiding those slopes.
Cornice: Many ridgelines now have large and overhanging cornices. With yesterday's strong winds at the uppermost ridgelines, I would expect to see the cornices to have grown. As you travel along ridgelines be sure to give cornices a wide berth as they typically break much further back than expected.
Avalanche Problem #2
New Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Yesterday's 10-15” inches of new snow ran fast and far on a variety of smooth bed surfaces with initial failure planes both at the old snow surfaces and just an inch or two into the storm snow. Graupel pooling may also be founded beneath cliffbands and on slope transitions where graupel may pool deeply. These instabilities may be found on all aspects.
Be especially thoughtful of this while traveling above terrain traps, cliff bands and features in which the debris from even a shallow slab could pile up.
Additional Information
Wet Snow: Yesterday we had one report of a wet slab, as we move into some warmer temperatures this weekend be looking for signs of wet snow such as rain, snowballing, pin-wheeling and small wet slabs. Good timing and trip planning are important, consider snowpack depth and avalanche runout zones.
Glide Avalanche: Large bone-shattering glide avalanches have run in Broads Fork of BCC in recent days. Broads Fork (Bonkers, Diving Board, Blue Ice), Stairs Gulch, and Mill B South are all suspect and travel beneath the rock slabs are not recommended.
General Announcements
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.