Forecast for the Moab Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath for
Saturday, March 30, 2019
The avalanche danger is generally LOW. If you are moving into higher, northerly facing terrain in search of dry snow, maintain your avalanche awareness. Be alert to areas of wind drifted snow, as well as the possibility for triggering an avalanche on a buried persistent weak layer, particularly in areas with rocky, more radical, or extreme terrain.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Special Announcements
We need your help. In an effort to increase awareness and prevent future fatalities we need to reach more people with our daily avalanche forecasts, expand the Know Before You Go program, and increase the number of on-snow avalanche courses. Please consider a donation to the UAC to help us raise $25,000 by April 8. Show your support of the UAC by making a donation at https://utahavalanchecenter.org/donate
Couple of new interesting things to read and listen to: (1) The latest blog by Drew "Roping the Wind (Slab)", and (2) UAC podcast featuring Lynne Wolfe - guide, avalanche educator, editor of The Avalanche Review, mentor, role model. This is a can't-miss episode!
Weather and Snow
Skies are mostly clear this morning, NW winds are averaging 10-15 mph along ridge tops, and 10,000' temps are around 10 degrees. Look for increasing clouds today as a weakish storm system moves into the area. Daytime high temps will be around 30 degrees and N winds will continue to be light. Skies should be mostly cloudy by this afternoon with snow developing tonight and tomorrow. It looks to me like about 3"-5" are likely.
New snow totals in Gold Basin (10,000')
Snotel totals at the Geyser Pass Trailhead (9600')
Winds at 11,000 feet on Abajo Peak (11,330') about 45 miles south.
National Weather Service point forecast.
Recent Avalanches
No new avalanches have been reported. For a list of avalanches this season go here.
Ad
Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Backcountry travel in snow covered mountains should always be done with an awareness for avalanche potential, and LOW danger doesn't mean NO danger. Continue to practice safe travel techniques by only putting one person on a slope at a time. Be alert to changing weather conditions and keep the following avalanche problems in mind:
Wet Snow: On warm, sunny days, you need to be alert to a rising danger for wet snow avalanches. Signs of instability include roller balls, pinwheels, and loose, wet sluffs. Follow the sun and get off of steep slopes if they become wet and sloppy.
Wind Drifted Snow: Always be on the lookout for areas of wind drifted snow on the leeward sides of ridge crests and terrain features. They are often recognizable as smooth, rounded pillows, or they may feel and sound hollow like a drum. Old, hard wind slabs will be harder to trigger, but they will also have higher consequences. Even a small wind slab release could be devastating if it swept you over a cliff. Choose terrain wisely and with regard for consequences.
Persistent Weak Layer: Persistent weak layers have plagued our snowpack for most of the season causing frequent natural activity. A major cycle on March 13, produced very large avalanches breaking to the ground. Triggering this type of avalanche has now become unlikely, but layers of weak, faceted snow still exist deep in the snowpack on shady aspects. If you move into steeper, more radical terrain, be mindful of potential trigger points such as shallower areas along slab margins, or in rocky or sparsely treed areas.
Additional Information
Grooming Information: Brian and Zach from the Forest service groomed on Thursday. The trail into Gold Basin is groomed with fresh corduroy, and the trail over Geyser Pass was packed out and rolled but is still quite rough with lots of "whoop dedoos."
General Announcements
Your information can save lives. If you see anything we should know about, please help us out by submitting snow and avalanche observations HERE. You can also call me at 801-647-8896, or send me an email: [email protected].
Support the UAC through your daily shopping. When you shop at Smith's, or online at REI, Backcountry.com, Patagonia, NRS, Amazon, eBay by clicking on these links, they donate a portion of your purchase to the UAC. If you sell on eBay, you can have your See our Affiliate Page for more details on how you can support the UAC when you shop
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.