Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Tuesday morning, February 17, 2026

Dangerous conditions are expected over the next several days as new snow driven by wind begins to stress the underlying weak snowpack. Human triggered avalanches will become increasingly more likely and natural avalanches will be possible.

The danger is greatest on steep north through east facing slopes where pre-existing snow 1-2 feet deep has become loose, weak and sugary. New and wind drifted snow will eventually overload this unstable base. Signs of instability include, collapsing, cracking in the snow surface, and blocks of snow between your skis or near your sled track. Avoid steep, slopes where these signs are present.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements

SAVE THE DATES!

We are rescheduling our Moab Backcountry 101 Class to Feb 20, 21 in the hopes of more snow. Click here for information and registration. Moab and Monticello locals can use the discount code MOAB-LOCAL for a 10% discount.

Weather and Snow
NWS forecast for the Abajo Mountains.
Wind speed and direction on Abajo Peak.
Snow totals and temps at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals and temps at Camp Jackson (8858')
It's been a lean year in the Abajos but snow is starting to trickle in with up to a foot of new snow up high since Feb 12. Prior to this storm, 1-2 feet of snow existed on shady aspects and this has become loose, weak, and faceted. South facing slopes were mostly bare. A stormy week ahead will add significant stress to this now buried, weak snow, and human triggered avalanches as well as possibly natural slides will become increasingly more likely over the coming days.
Blocks of snow outside of your sled track indicate slab formation.

Cracking in the snow surface is a sign of instability.

See all Abajo Observations here.
Additional Information
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.