Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Saturday morning, January 24, 2026

New snow and wind have increased the likelihood for human triggered avalanches primarily on steep, north and easterly facing slopes at mid and upper elevations. In these areas, slabs of wind drifted snow sit on top of weak, sugary, faceted snow. Minimize your risk by avoiding steep slopes that have more than about 8-10 inches of recent or wind drifted snow. Wind drifts form on the leeward sides of ridge crests and terrain features such as gully walls and sub-ridges. They are often recognizable by their smooth rounded appearance and cracking is a sign of instability. In some cases, avalanches triggered in the new snow could step down into buried weaker layers causing a deeper and more dangerous avalanche. Avoid terrain that has steep convexities, or areas of rocky, more radical terrain. You can avoid the problem altogether by avoiding slopes steeper than 30 degrees.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements

SAVE THE DATES!

We are rescheduling our Moab Backcountry 101 Class to Feb 20, 21 in the hopes of more snow. Click here for information and registration. Moab and Monticello locals can use the discount code MOAB-LOCAL for a 10% discount.

Weather and Snow
The north side of the range picked up about 6 inches of snow with only about half that falling on the south side. Prior to the storm, nearly all south slopes were bare. Shady, north aspects had between 12-20 inches of total snow that was largely weak and sugary. Strong winds blew from the southwest during the storm depositing snow on to north and easterly aspects where the underlying snowpack was weak, and fragile. In these areas, the likelihood for human triggered avalanches has increased.
NWS forecast for the Abajo Mountains.
Wind speed and direction on Abajo Peak.
Snow totals and temps at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals and temps at Camp Jackson (8858')
I took a trip up Johnson Creek on the south side on Thursday, Jan 15 and was able to make it to all the way up to 9700 feet on a side by side. South facing slopes are mostly dry with up to 18 inches on northerly facing slopes up high. The snow on shady slopes is weak and faceted. Isolated areas have stiff slabs of wind drifted snow on top.
Cory Noonan was up on Sunday and submitted a report of current conditions.
See all Abajo Observations here.
Thin conditions. The north face of South Mountain in the back ground has the kind of terrain where you are most likely to find avalanche problems.
Thin snowcover at 9700 feet.
Additional Information

It's never too early to start thinking about avalanches. Here are a few things to consider doing:

  • Learn online. We have over 5 hours of free online learning at the Know Before You Go website
  • Check out the upcoming in-person Know Before You Go events HERE
  • Sign up for an on-snow class
  • Check out the UAC's education progression HERE
  • Get your avalanche rescue gear ready for winter. Put fresh batteries in your transceiver and update the firmware. Inspect your shovel and probe. Get your airbag backpack ready by possibly doing a test deployment and updating the firmware if it is an electric version or getting your canister refilled if it's not electronic.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.