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Observation: Butler Basin

Observation Date
1/14/2025
Observer Name
Hardesty and Pagnucco
Region
Salt Lake » Big Cottonwood Canyon » Butler Fork » Butler Basin
Location Name or Route
Butler Basin
Weather
Sky
Few
Weather Comments
Glorious. No wind. Cold.
Snow Characteristics
New Snow Depth
10"
New Snow Density
Low
Snow Surface Conditions
Powder
Damp
Snow Characteristics Comments
Excellent right-side-up storm snow. Warm enough for many solars to have a zipper crust Wednesday morning. This crust may become an RR crust; the subsurface snow a cm below the surface cold snow was still damp and had not yet frozen. With the phase change, facets may form this afternoon/eve. Take a look.
Avalanche Problem #1
Problem
Persistent Weak Layer
Trend
Same
Problem #1 Comments
Travel was up into upper Butler Basin to look at the avalanche involvement from Sunday. On route we did not see any new avalanches or experience any cracking or collapsing.
Snow profile is below. Average HS in these mid-elevations was 140-170cm with 4F/4F+ basal facets. It would be unlikely that this would be a trigger point on the slope; instead one would need a much thinner or rockier zone as we saw with this accident or a repeater slope that did not take out the facets the first time.

It's really a tale of two snowpacks: Solars (first photo) that hold no uniform and/or unstable snow and polars that do. Worse yet, the polar stability (second/third photos) is increasing but is not yet stable. What this means of course is that parties will not see signs of instability and may ride a few slopes before they find a trigger spot. This is a dangerous setup...and low angle with nothing steep above is the only path for riding on polar aspects. Sorry for the soap box.
Avalanche Problem #2
Problem
Wet Snow
Trend
Increasing Danger
Problem #2 Comments
Tomorrow's 700mb temps rise toward +1C with mostly clear skies and light wind. Even though the steep solar aspects have been kissed by the sun the last two days, this will be a dramatic warm up: Wet loose and pockety "wet slabs" likely in steep sun-drenched terrain.
*There is a LOT of cold low density snow that will see a lot of heat tomorrow. I would imagine impressive debris piles under steep sustained slide paths on the sunny aspects.
Snow Profile
Aspect
Northwest
Elevation
9,300'
Comments
Today's Observed Danger Rating
Moderate
Tomorrows Estimated Danger Rating
Moderate
Coordinates