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Observation: Ant Knolls

Observation Date
3/6/2015
Observer Name
Joey Dempster
Region
Provo » American Fork » Ant Knolls
Location Name or Route
Ant Knolls, Midway
Weather
Sky
Clear
Wind Direction
Southwest
Wind Speed
Light
Weather Comments
Raging spring sun. If it isn't well shaded, it got baked today. Air temps were cool enough to let N facing powder live to be skied another day, I think.
Snow Characteristics
Snow Surface Conditions
Powder
Melt-Freeze Crust
Damp
Snow Characteristics Comments

Damp powder just about sums it up. It still hasn't consolidated underfoot, so skis ("normal" skis anyway) still penetrate through to the old snow, so it still takes a pretty good slope angle to get going.

Red Flags
Red Flags
Rapid Warming
Red Flags Comments
Forecast warm temps should start things moving pretty soon. The air has been cool enough to offset solar radiation so far, but that won't last.
Comments

The snowmobilers have been out in force since the snow stopped falling, providing ample slope testing with no visible results. Quick pits and stomping around on switchback corners revealed a slight propensity for cracking in the new snow, but only on the steepest test slopes, and not propagating readily. The consolidation of the new snow into a slab had me a bit on edge (moreso than Monday, when there was no slab in sight), but the lack of cracking and propagation in tests corroborated by the myriad snowmobile tracks (including three huge cornice hucks!) made me feel a little better. I would expect, however, that in the right place, like a narrow sheltered gully or couloir, a small avalanche could have been found today. Classic moderate. However, time and warm temps will make that danger dissipate even further tomorrow, bringing the focus squarely to wet avalanches. Slab avalanche danger will be low in this area tomorrow. Wet avalanche hazard will be moderate at a minimum on steep sun exposed terrain, possibly rising to considerable depending on air temperatures.

Today's Observed Danger Rating
Moderate
Tomorrows Estimated Danger Rating
Moderate