Observation: Little Water

Observation Date
2/20/2026
Observer Name
Gagne
Region
Salt Lake » Big Cottonwood Canyon » Mill D North » Little Water
Location Name or Route
Little Water - Sheep Scat Ridge
Weather
Sky
Overcast
Precipitation
Light Snowfall
Wind Direction
Northwest
Wind Speed
Moderate
Weather Comments
Moderate gusts of wind from the northwest. Refreshing gray skies, with some peaks of sun in the afternoon.
Snow Characteristics
New Snow Depth
2"
New Snow Density
Low
Snow Surface Conditions
Powder
Wind Crust
Snow Characteristics Comments

The sun peaked out during the afternoon and may have put a thin crust on some solar aspects. Otherwise, a few cms of very low-density stellars capping the storm snow from this past week.

Red Flags
Red Flags
Recent Avalanches
Cracking
Collapsing
Poor Snowpack Structure
Avalanche Problem #1
Problem
Persistent Weak Layer
Trend
Same
Problem #1 Comments

The "Dry January" PWL has been the prominent weak layer that most avalanches have failed on. The ~100 cm (~3 foot) storm slab from this past week has gained some strength, and I was finding 4F/1F- hardness just above this PWL. I only got a few small collapses today, indicating the slab is gaining strength and will support a load. Until it doesn't.

With *very weak* facets underneath the storm slab, this is not the time to push into steeper terrain. The lack of collapsing may give riders the sense the snow is "stabilizing", but if you hit the right spot, a large and deep avalanche is likely.

Comments

Travel today was Little Water to Sheep S*&t Ridge. The Little Water avalanche is visible, and I also saw three separate natural avalanches on north-facing terrain along the Sheep S&$t Ridge. (Photo below.)

In looking at the crowns and bed surface of avalanches in Little Water and Sheep S&$t Ridge, the depths all indicate these avalanches all ran at the interface with the January Dry Layer, and did not step down to the Holiday Crusts or clean out the PWL. This means many slopes that have avalanched still have facets in place, and are candidates to avalanche again with the next load of snow or wind-loading. Mark White saw a similar pattern Thursday on Soldier Fork.

The snowpack is much less talkative today than the past few days, but triggering an avalanche on northerly aspects will be consequential. I'm concerned that as the weak Dry January Layer slowly adjusts, and as the slab gains strength and is more supportable, the likelihood of triggering an avalanche is slowly decreasing, but the consequences remain significant, with avalanches failing ~100 cms (2-4 feet) deep.

Today's Observed Danger Rating
High
Coordinates