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Forecast for the Uintas Area Mountains

Craig Gordon
Issued by Craig Gordon for
Wednesday, December 15, 2021
HEADS UP... DANGEROUS AVALANCHE CONDITIONS MATERIALIZED OVERNIGHT
A CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger exits on steep, mid and upper elevation terrain facing the north half of the compass and HUMAN TRIGGERED AVALANCHES ARE LIKELY. Avoid being on, under, or adjacent to steep wind drifted slopes, particularly those that harbor old October snow. And remember... any avalanche that fails on older snow will result in a dangerous slide breaking 2'-4' deep and a couple hundred feet wide, instantly ruining your day. In addition, recent strong winds formed fresh drifts in lower elevation terrain where you'll find MODERATE avalanche danger. Human triggered avalanches are POSSIBLE on steep, wind drifted slopes facing the north half of the compass.
But here's the good news- simply switch aspect or lose elevation and set your sights on terrain that was bare prior to our recent round of storms. You'll find generally LOW avalanche danger on slopes with these characteristics.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
NOWCAST-
Last night's storm screamed into the region like a cross-fire hurricane, delivering all the components of a classic Utah storm. Strong pre-frontal southerly winds, a sharp cold front, the hint of thunder snow, and then finally the storm arrived late last night delivering a solid 12" of snow with just over an inch of water. Winds relaxed right around midnight, turned northerly and currently blow 10-20 mph along the high ridges. Temperatures continue crashing into the single digits early this morning. If you can get to the trailhead, you'll be rewarded with some rather stellar riding and turning conditions.
FORECAST-
Snow continues falling for the next couple of hours and we should stack up a few more inches of light, chin tickling fluff. Northwest winds should remain reasonable even along the high peaks where they'll register in the 20's and 30's. It'll feel like winter with highs hovering in the low teens. Overnight lows crater into negative territory.
FUTURECAST-
A break in the action later today is followed by another cold storm slated for Thursday. Not as powerful as last nights system, but should produce 3"-6" of snow. Very cold temperatures are on tap for the weekend.
Looking for real-time temps, snow, or wind?
Click HERE and then on the "western Uinta" tab for western Uinta specific, weather station network.
Recent Avalanches
No new avalanche activity to report from our area, but near-by terrain in the Park City area with similar snow structure is producing large avalanches breaking to weak, October snow.
Observations, trip reports, and avalanches found here.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Recent winds and warm temperatures helped to form a strong cohesive slab and it's resting on fragile, old October snow... or what we call a persistent weak layer (PWL). And while last night's storm snow may feel light, fluffy, and harmless we've gotta remember- not only the snow we're riding in, but also the snow we're riding on. Yep... this is the classic "strong snow on weak snow" setup and that's always a dangerous combination in our mountains. This combo makes snow feel strong under our skis, board, or sled and often allows us to get well out onto the slope before the weak layer fails (often around a bush or rock we can't see under the snow), the avalanche breaks above us, and now the entire seasons snowpack crashes down on top of us.
Now here's where it gets tricky... there's a fresh blanket of snow coating our mountains and everything's gonna look white. In fact, it'll be more difficult to determine what slopes held early season snow. But remember... terrain that faces the south half of the compass and lower elevation slopes were bare prior to last weeks big storm. And while there's plenty of gear wrecking rocks and stumps to slam into, there's no old snow and avalanche issues are straight-forward.
Avalanche Problem #2
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Windy Peak (10,662') showing the relentless upper elevation wind speeds, prior, during, and after the storm arrived.
Strong southerly winds blasted the high ridges for the past 72 hours and there was plenty of loose snow to work with to form fresh wind drifts along the leeward side of mid and upper elevation ridges. And all of that was before last nights storm! Now all of those older drifts are covered over with fresh snow, making them harder to detect and today will be tricky. So, a good rule of thumb is to simply avoid any steep slope facing the north half of the compass, especially if it appears fat and rounded or sounds hollow like a drum. With sustained strong winds, I wouldn't be too surprised to find drifting on slopes we usually consider sheltered from the wind.
Additional Information
Your observations are important, so please let me know what you're seeing... click HERE and contribute to this amazing community based program
General Announcements
The information in this forecast expires 24 hours after the day and time posted, but will be updated by 07:00 Thursday December 16th.
Before it gets too crazy, now is the time to book an avalanche awareness presentation for your group, club, or posse. You can reach me directly at 801-231-2170 or [email protected]
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

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