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Forecast for the Salt Lake Area Mountains

Trent Meisenheimer
Issued by Trent Meisenheimer on
Sunday morning, January 12, 2025
The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE for wind-drifted snow across all mid and upper elevations where sensitive slabs of wind-drifted snow may be found.
The avalanche danger is also CONSIDERABLE on mid and upper-elevation slopes facing west, north, and east where there is a buried persistent weak layer.

There is a MODERATE danger on all aspects and elevations for new snow soft slabs and dry-loose avalanches.
Low
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Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
WOW what a storm! Upper Cottonwoods stacking up 12 to 22 inches of new snow with 0.50-1.26 inches of snow water equivalent (SWE). Park City Ridgeline picking up 5 to 8 inches of snow (0.50-0.80" SWE). Even Lambs Canyon and Parleys got in on the action, picking up 5 inches down low. You gotta love a good northwest flow in Utah.
Overnight, we squeezed another inch of champagne powder from the atmosphere. The icing on the cake. The wind has slowed down dramatically and is blowing from the northwest and north at speeds of 5-10 mph, with gusts barely hitting 20. The mountain temperatures are cold and range from 4-14 °F.
Today, we will continue to see light snowfall throughout the day with an additional 1 to 4 inches of snow. Mountain temperatures will remain cold, topping out in the upper teens to low 20s °F. Winds will be light from the north and northwest, blowing 10-15 mph at best. With the storm coming in heavy and finishing with blower powder, I heard many people say it was the best day of the year. Today will be the same.
Recent Avalanches
No new avalanches were reported from the backcountry. However, I would bet there was a natural avalanche cycle within the new snow. Ski areas reported sensitive soft slabs of new snow, with some being up to 18" deep. Explosive results showed avalanches up to size 2 (large enough to bury a person). They also reported dry-loose avalanches in steep terrain running fast and far.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Strong winds over the past 72 hours have made a checkerboard of old hard slabs of wind-drifted snow that are now buried with new snow over the top. The wind was strong out of the northwest at the beginning of the storm and likely whipped up a new batch of soft slabs of wind-drifted snow.
If the snow is pillowy or rounded, you've likely found a new drift of wind-blown snow. If the snow is hard and hollow-sounding, you likely found an old hard drift of wind-blown snow. In either case, be on the lookout for wind-drifted slopes.
These drifts may break to the old snow surface, as many observers noted the old snow surface becoming loose and faceted from the past few days of clear and cold weather. Any wind-drifted snow avalanche can also step down to deeper weaker layers on terrain facing west to north to east at the mid and upper elevations (see PWL below).
Avalanche Problem #2
New Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
With up to 22 inches of new snow, you can bet there will be new snow soft slab avalanches and dry-loose avalanches today. These could be 1-2 feet deep and large enough to bury you. Watch for terrain traps and places where the snow can stack up deeply.
In southerly-facing terrain, this new snow fell on slick crusts and avalanches could run fast and far. On shady slopes, the old snow surface was slightly faceted, and we may see new snow soft slab avalanches fail down to this interface. Use slope cuts and shovel tilt tests to see how the new snow behaves.
Avalanche Problem #3
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Think of a slab like a rubber band. When we load our snowpack with weight, we stretch the rubber band. If we stretch it too far, it will break. Will it break today? Well, that is the question. Yes, the persistent weak layer is gaining some strength and the likelihood is decreasing slowly. However, there is a significant consequence if you get this wrong. If you trigger a persistent weak layer avalanche, it will likely be season-ending, or worse, it could kill you.
It's just not worth it yet. I do not know one snow professional willing to ride steep, northerly-facing terrain. Continue to avoid steep, shady terrain where you can still trigger a persistent weak-layer avalanche.
My recommendation is to ride southerly-facing terrain, where you won't find this weak layer in the snowpack. If you want to ride northerly-facing terrain, you need to watch your slope angle, making sure you don't ride or walk underneath terrain that is greater than 30 degrees in steepness. Avalanches can be triggered remotely (from a distance).
General Announcements
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.