Forecast for the Logan Area Mountains

Toby Weed
Issued by Toby Weed for
Wednesday, January 16, 2013

There is a MODERATE (or level 2) danger in the backcountry today. Heightened avalanche conditions exist in drifted terrain at all elevations, and you could trigger persistent slab avalanches 1 to 2 feet deep on steep slopes. Stronger ridge-top winds from the northwest last night and early this morning probably created pockets with a CONSIDERABLE (level 3) danger on drifted upper elevation slopes, where triggered wind slab avalanches are becoming more likely. Safer conditions exist in sheltered and lower angled terrain, as long as you stay out from under steep slopes. Evaluate the snow and terrain carefully, avoid steep drifted slopes and terrain traps below, and continue to practice safe travel protocols...

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements

The friends of the Utah Avalanche Center in Logan is presenting a snowmobile avalanche safety clinic in Logan, with a classroom session on Thursday.January 17 and a field session up at Tony Grove on Saturday January 19. Save the date, call 435-757-2794 for more information, and visit our website to register..... HERE

Weather and Snow

You'll find nice shallow re-crystallized powder in many areas... Last week's rime crust is widespread across the area under the powder from late last week, but it affects powder riding conditions differently in different areas. In some areas you can hardly feel it, while in others it almost supports your weight and it sounds like breaking glass when you move through it. Northwest winds intensified overnight at upper elevations, creating stiff drifts and wind slabs in exposed terrain.

The Tony Grove Snotel at 8400' reports a couple inches of new snow overnight, and it's 8 degrees this morning. There is 47 inches of total snow, and the station reports 68% of average water content for the date. The CSI Logan Peak weather station at 9700' reports 11 degrees, and northwest winds, with speeds averaging in the mid thirties with gusts approaching 50 mph..

Recent Avalanches

Locally; no new avalanches were reported since the storm last Friday. (1-11)

Here's a link to our updated avalanche list...

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Avalanche Problem #1
New Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Drifts formed on weak sugary faceted surface snow, in many areas capped by a rime crust from early last week. The very weak and well preserved faceted snow from early January is a persistent weak layer that may haunt us for some time to come. In most areas a slab layer consisting of harder snow above the weakness is lacking, but drifting from stronger winds yesterday and overnight probably built up the slabs in places. The snow structure is especially bad at lower and mid elevations and where the snowpack is generally shallow. You could trigger avalanches in these conditions remotely, from a distance or below. Persistent slabs 1 to 2 feet deep are possible at all elevations on slopes facing west through north through east....

Avalanche Problem #2
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Stronger ridge-top winds overnight and this morning increased the danger of wind slab avalanches at upper elevations and on exposed slopes. Watch out for wind slabs on the lee side of major ridges and in and around terrain features like cliff bands, sub-ridges, gullies, and scoops. Stiff fresh wind slabs could be around a foot deep and might be deeper in places. Avoid wind drifts on steep slopes, which often appear smooth or rounded and chalky looking, and they sometimes sound rather hollow. Stiff wind slabs might allow you to get out on them before releasing. Cracking and audible collapsing in drifted snow are red flags requiring reevaluation of your route... You could trigger dangerous wind slab avalanches if you venture onto steep recently drifted slopes...

Additional Information

Expect mostly sunny skies and warming temperatures in the mountains today. Sustained northwest winds are cranking along the highest ridge-lines this morning, but we should see them decreasing and becoming more westerly as the day progresses. High temperatures will climb into the upper teens. A strong high pressure system will remain over the region with significant warming aloft beginning today. Mountain temperatures should rise into the upper teens today and the mid twenties tomorrow. The resulting temperature inversion will take hold and cold air and smog will be trapped in the valleys through the weekend and well into next week. We'll find fair weather in the mountains during this time....

Check out the new Logan Mountain Weather page...

General Announcements

Remember your information from the backcountry can save lives. If you see or trigger an avalanche in the backcountry or see anything else we should know about, please send us your snow and avalanche observations. You can also call us at 801-524-5304 or email by clicking HERE. In the Logan Area you can contact Toby Weed directly at 435-757-7578.

I will update this advisory on Monday, Wednesday, Friday, and Saturday mornings by around 7:30...

This advisory is produced by the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. It describes only general avalanche conditions and local variations always exist.