Forecast for the Uintas Area Mountains

Craig Gordon
Issued by Craig Gordon for
Saturday, March 9, 2024
On a solid, go-anywhere base, the snow feels strong and good to go... but don't get tricked into thinking all slopes are bomb dot com-
Today, expect to find pockets of CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger on wind drifted slopes, especially those in the wind zone above treeline. Human triggered avalanches are LIKELY on steep, leeward slopes, particularly those with an easterly component to their aspect. In addition... while becoming more the exception than the rule, steep, rocky, slopes with a shallow snowpack is bulls-eye terrain where you can still trigger an avalanche that breaks to old snow near the ground.
MODERATE avalanche danger exists near treeline on slopes facing the north half of the compass, where winds have swirled, forming stiff slabs. Human triggered avalanches are POSSIBLE on steep slopes with recent deposits of wind drifted snow.
LOW avalanche danger is found below treeline on shady slopes along with most terrain facing the south half of the compass.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Nowcast- High pressure builds over the region, delivering nuthin' but clear skies and slightly inverted temperatures registering in the single digits down low and mid teens with elevation gain. Winds blow from the north and northeast clocking in at 10-20 mph near the high peaks. It might not be over-the-hood, but riding and turning conditions are most excellent none-the-less.
Forecast- Look for mostly sunny skies with temperatures climbing into the mid 30's. Winds blow in the teens and low 20's from the north, but take a 180 and begin shifting to the south late in the day.
Futurecast- The warm before the storm... high clouds drift into the region Sunday and southerly winds blow into the 20's and 30's whilst temperatures climb into the 40's. A few inches of snow kick off the work week, a break for Tuesday, and then a stronger system is on tap for midweek.

I know you came here for the snow, but I hope you'll stay for the views :)
Recent Avalanches
Doing a little weather station maintenance on Windy Peak yesterday, I spotted this meaty looking, cornice triggered pocket in Upper Chalk Creek.

For all Uinta observations and recent avalanche activity click HERE.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
A handful of drifts on the leeward side of upper elevation ridges remain sensitive and will react to our additional weight. Nothing too alarming and easily managed by toning your slope angle down a notch or two and choosing wind sheltered terrain. You know the drill... lose the wind, you lose the problem.
Avalanche Problem #2
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
Becoming more the exception than the rule, this slide triggered Wednesday broke 4'-10' deep and a football field wide. Initiated from a thin, weak portion of the snowpack, this northeast facing slope in the windzone has avalanched several times this season and fits into a recent pattern, but not a tidy box.
As the snowpack grows deep and more homogeneous, the odds of triggering a dangerous avalanche that breaks to weak snow near the ground diminish. But there's a disclaimer in small print, because we don't trigger scary, dangerous avalanches from deep portions of snow, rather it's from shallow, thin pieces of snow like around rocks or bushes, barely hidden under the snow surface. Whether it's from multiple avalanches or wind scouring, bulls-eye terrain is steep, rocky slopes facing the north half of the compass, especially in the wind zone where the pack has remained thin this year. And remember... last weeks cow-tipping, southerly winds transported tremendous amounts of snow to leeward slopes, adding a thick, cohesive slab on top of a structurally flawed base. All we need to do is roll along and knock the legs out from underneath and we'll be staring down the barrel of a very dangerous slide.
Additional Information
The Uinta weather station network was upgraded this summer and all that real-time info is found HERE. Simply click on "western Uinta" tab and then "weather stations" tab.

We are always looking for snow and avalanche observations or just general riding conditions. So... if you see something, say something. You can reach me directly at [email protected] or 801-231-2170.
Also, if you're looking for more avy education opportunities for yourself, your crew, or your club please don't hesitate to reach out to me and we'll find a presentation, class, or clinic for ya!
General Announcements

Issued at 03:30 on Saturday, March 9th this forecast will be updated by 0700 Sunday, March 10th, 2024.
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.