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Forecast for the Uintas Area Mountains

Craig Gordon
Issued by Craig Gordon on
Saturday morning, March 15, 2025
For today, CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger is found on mid and upper elevation slopes, especially those facing the north half of the compass. In the windzone, at and above treeline, human-triggered fresh drifts and storm snow avalanches are LIKELY. Heads up... recent storms add a bit more stress to the snowpack and that may bring PWL out of hibernation, producing a slide that breaks deeper and wider than we might expect. Steep, rocky terrain with a shallow snowpack fits the bill for slopes to avoid. While the snow feels solid under our feet, remember... unusually weak snow still lingers in the snowpack on upper elevation, shady slopes.
Lower elevation north facing terrain gets in on the act where MODERATE avalanche danger is found and human triggered slides are POSSIBLE on steep, wind drifted slopes.
Most mid and lower elevation south facing terrain offers dust on crust and generally LOW avalanche danger.
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Weather and Snow
Nowcast- Mostly cloudy skies overhead obscure a waning Worm Moon, but deliver a thin coat of white paint at the turn of the new day.... nothing to get too excited about, just a couple traces to about an inch across the range. Blowing 15-25 mph, west and southwest winds are well-behaved even near the high peaks. Temperatures register in the teens at the trailheads and it'll feel like winter near the ridges with the mercury creeping into the single digits.
Forecast- Moisture streams in from the west, delivering a nice reset with 3"-6" of medium density snow expected. High temperatures climb into the mid and upper 20's while overnight lows dip into the single digits as skies clear.
Futurecast- A break in the action for Sunday and then another nice shot of snow is on tap for late Monday through Tuesday.
Travel & Riding Conditions-
Weston D says winter's got a shelf-life... ... get it while you can.
Recent Avalanches
No significant avy activity to report since earlier this week-
Objects in the mirror are larger than they appear. We received some rudimentary beta on a rather well connected piece of snow, I suspect was cornice triggered on the tail end of last weeks storm. The image above is the northeast facing, hanging snow field in the alpine on the backside of Notch Mountain, just east of Mount Watson in the Mirror Lake Highway zone. Thanks to Kyle Cheston for the intel!
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
For the moment, our problem children, several persistent weak layers of snow, now buried a couple feet from the snow surface, feel like they're becoming more comfortable in their own skin. In fact, we haven't seen or heard of any avalanches breaking to old snow in about a week... and that's good news. Sure, the pack feels bomber under our skis, board, or sled, however we gotta think not only about the snow we're riding in, but also the snow we're riding on. And while we might forget about weak layers, the snowpack has an amazing memory. Fact is... older, weak snow is hard to detect unless we dig down and investigate the layering. However, if you do a little homework and trench down a bit, you'll still find weak, sugary facets, now buried between 1' to 3’ deep beneath the snow surface and that's the devious culprit behind recent persistent slab avalanches.
The snowpack is becoming less cranky, though it's still quite complex, so let's keep it tight and avoid terrain where we could trigger a slide that breaks deeper and wider that what we might've bargained for. Think... steep, rocky, shallow... like slopes that have avalanched several times already this winter.
Avalanche Problem #2
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
A handful of fresh, yet touchy, shallow drifts were reported on leeward slopes in the alpine yesterday and I think that'll be the case again today. Winds aren't forecast to be particularly strong, but I'd continue to look for and avoid any fat, rounded pillow of snow which will react to our additional weight and may pack more of a punch than you might expect.
Additional Information
  • We come to you with heavy hearts and great sadness this morning to confirm an avalanche accident on Friday, March 7th near Hoyt Peak, involving 51 year old Micheal Janulaitis from Marion, Utah. Micheal used a snowbike to access the terrain, but was caught, carried, and killed in an avalanche while skiing a steep, northeast facing run on Hoyt Peak.Huge thanks to the Department of Public Safety, Park City Mountain Resort and Canyons Village Snow Safety and Ski Patrol teams, along with Wasatch Backcountry Rescue for the hard work recovering Micheal and returning him to his family. Micheal was a friend of Utah Avy and we feel privileged for the time we got to spend together. This is a tremendous loss for our backcountry family and we will miss him deeply. We are compiling accident details and a preliminary report is available here.
General Announcements
We are always looking for snow and avalanche observations or just general riding conditions. In the meantime reach out to us with questions, concerns, or if you see anything in your travels! Contact us directly through the info below:
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. This forecast was issued on Saturday, March 15th at 03:30 AM and expires 24 hours after it was issued.