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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik for
Saturday, April 9, 2022
The majority of the terrain on the Skyline has a LOW avalanche danger.
You can pretty much travel around most anywhere and be at ease that you won't trigger an avalanche.
However, there is still a chance that a person could trigger a large and deadly avalanche on northerly facing slopes steeper than 30˚ above about 10,000'.
With a number of days of warm temperatures and no real solid overnight freeze, you'll want to consider wet avalanches. If you find yourself in knee or waist deep slushy wet snow, avoid being on steep slopes and in gullies and ravines with steep walls.
Low
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Considerable
High
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions
Overnight temperatures stayed quite warm with most weather stations hovering around 40˚F. Southwest wind is moderate along the higher ridges.
Mountain Weather
We'll have some clouds this morning and a bit more sun this afternoon. High temperatures will get into the mid 40s to around 50. Southwest wind should stay in the moderate speed range. Temperatures really cool off tonight with lows down into the teens. Sunday is much cooler with highs only around freezing. A storm moving through Monday night should bring a decent amount of new snow. This morning the weather models don't look quite as promising for large amounts of snow as they did yesterday but it still looks like 6 to 12 inches.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
There's been no big change in avalanche conditions. Below are some thoughts on the current state of the mid winter Persistent Weak Layer:
The Persistent Weak Layer that formed mid winter is really your only serious threat out there today. In theory, as time goes on, it should continue to stabilize and stop producing avalanches. I cannot say whether it has reached this point yet. What I do know is that it is a very unusual layer of weak snow that has produced an unprecedented string of avalanches here on the Skyline. It's tricked me once into thinking it was stable.
The places you could still find trouble are on VERY steep northerly facing slopes above about 10,000'. We want to recreate in that north facing terrain right now because that's where the good quality snow is. The easiest thing to do is to keep your slope angles to 30˚ or below. Be sure there's nothing steeper than 30˚ above you also as you could still trigger one of these beasts from below.
Additional Information
SKYLINE AVALANCHES & OBSERVATIONS
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INSTAGRAM: SKYLINE_AVALANCHE
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This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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