Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Monday morning, March 16, 2026

Conditions are generally quiet.

A "pockety" MODERATE avalanche danger remains above 9500' on steep slopes that face northwest, north, northeast and east.

The chance of triggering an avalanche that breaks into the old January facets is getting pretty slim. But faceted snow still remains in the snowpack, and I don't like that.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow

General Conditions: Temperatures only made it into the mid to upper 20s on Sunday. Wind from the northwest on Sunday was fairly breezy. It slowed somewhat compared to Saturday. Cold temperatures overnight have locked up the snow surface, and you'll find stout crusts out there this morning.

Mountain Weather: We'll have partly to mostly cloudy skies today. Temperatures rebound and will push 40°F. Wind from the northwest will remain somewhat breezy. Looking forward, the upcoming weather looks crazy. VERY warm temperatures with no storms in sight through the end of the month. A "Super Ridge" of high pressure will build in this week. We are going to see temperatures into the 60s in the high country by mid week. It'll be pushing 70 by the end of the week. It looks like warm weather continues the following week but perhaps just not quite as warm as this week.
Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

As we slide further into a springtime regime, the snowpack continues to consolidate. It is getting to the point where it is pretty unlikely that a person will trigger an avalanche breaking into weak snow from January, but, I think it is still worth a mention. A layer of buried faceted snow is nothing to take lightly. It often proves to be dangerous long after we think things are stable. Personally, I will continue to avoid the highest-elevation, northerly-facing, steep slopes.

General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.