Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Thursday morning, February 26, 2026

The overall avalanche danger on the Skyline remains CONSIDERABLE today.

Human-triggered avalanches are likely.

Wet natural avalanches are possible in the mid-elevations.

Continue to avoid being on OR BELOW steep slopes on the north half of the compass.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow

General Conditions: Unbelievable. The winter just gets stranger and stranger. Yesterday's warm-up made for some truly horrible travel conditions. It also rained up to 9500 feet. Below that, the snowpack became wet and soggy. It was punchy and unsupportable, making for difficult snowmachine travel. The track was trenching deep into sloppy wet snow as well as the skis. It was like a late afternoon in May. Above 9500', there was about an inch of dense new snow. It was more like paste. Most weather stations actually lost snow depths over the last 24 hours. Temperatures have been in the mid-30s for two days now. Wind from the west has been steady in the moderate speed range over the last 24 hours.

I was out with Logan Addis on Wednesday and he wrote about what we were finding. DETAILS HERE.

Mountain Weather: The big picture is that we slid back into the pattern we were in during January, where the long wave trough is over the eastern United States, leaving us battling a ridge of high pressure out west. We should see the skies clear out today. Temperatures will be in the mid-30s to around 40°F. Wind from the west will be moderate in speed. It'll feel a little breezy along the ridges. Warm temperatures remain in place through the weekend with periods of clouds. There's a slight chance for snow/rain on Sunday.
Recent Avalanches

Warm temperatures and rain was producing some minor avalanche activity in the mid elevations on Wednesday. These were gouging deep into the facets as they traveled downhill.

Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

The old weak snow from December and January is still causing problems. Now, with the warm-up, there are two scenarios.

  1. Dry avalanches above 9500'. Well, mostly dry. The facets buried in the snowpack are still dry and slab avalanches can still be triggered like they have been over the last week.
  2. Wet avalanche below 9500'. The warm up and rain has saturated the snowpack below 9500' making it unstable. Point release avalanches are gouging into the old facets. Wet slab avalanches are possible.

Things are not as sensitive as they were before the warm up. We only experienced minor collapsing on Wednesday. However, make no mistake, conditions remain dangerous.

General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.