Forecast: Provo Area Mountains - Utah Avalanche Center

Forecast for the Provo Area Mountains

Issued by Drew Hardesty on
Wednesday morning, April 12, 2023

A HIGH avalanche danger exists on all aspects and elevations. These are dangerous conditions.

Naturally occurring wet loose, wet slab, and glide avalanches are expected again today. Avalanches will run long distances - even areas where there is currently little to no snow, such as trailheads or onto spring hiking trails. Avoid being on or beneath steep terrain.

Cornices and roof-alanches present a real danger today as well.

Low

Moderate

Considerable

High

Extreme

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Avalanche Warning

What: The avalanche danger for the warning area will very quickly rise to HIGH today with daytime heating.

Where: For the mountains and foothills of Northern Utah, including the Wasatch Range...Bear River Range...Wellsville Range...Oquirrh Mountains...Stansbury Range...Cache Valley...Ogden Valley...Uinta Mountains

Impacts: Warm temperatures will create widespread areas of unstable wet snow. Natural and human-triggered cornice falls and wet avalanches are likely. People should avoid being in avalanche terrain (off of and out from under slopes steeper than 30°) and stay clear of avalanche run-outs on all aspects and elevations.

Special Announcements

The final UAC report for the Upper Weber Canyon avalanche accident on March 9 has been published and is available HERE. The UAC would like to thank Park City Powder Cats for sharing information about the timeline of the accident and allowing UAC staff access to the avalanche after the incident.

Weather and Snow

High, thin clouds moved in overnight, portending relief, sweet relief, in the form of tonight's cold front.

But one more day in the broiler.

Mountain temperatures are in the mid to upper 40s. Many areas have not seen a decent refreeze since the weekend.

Winds from the southwest increased overnight, blowing 15-25mph with gusts to 40. The highest elevations average 40mph with gusts to 60.

High and then mid-level clouds will push through today, along with moderate to strong winds from the southwest. Temperatures will be a touch cooler than yesterday, with highs in the 40s and 50s. It won't be pretty.

Tonight's cold front plummets temperatures tomorrow to the upper single digits and low teens. We might squeeze 3-6" out of the storm.

Recent Avalanches

More wet avalanche carnage across the range yesterday. A few of note:

Dave Jarvis spotted what looked like new large wet slabs on the south and west faces of Timpanogos and the Cascade ridgeline, respectively. The wet avalanche cycle probably began sometime Sunday into Monday.

pic UDOT Provo

We continue to document and update avalanche observations from last week's historic avalanche cycle. Check out all avalanche observations HERE.

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Sweltering temperatures will again create dangerous and unstable wet avalanche conditions today on all aspects and elevations.

For many areas, last night was the third night (or longer) with a poor, if superficial, refreeze. This doesn't allow the snowpack to bounce-back from the day's intense sun and warm temps. The result is melt-water that filters down, looking for crusts, coarser snow, or cold snow (among many) to pool and, eventually, avalanche. Divining exactly when and where these avalanches occur is difficult, to say the least.

Cloud cover and wind will have some say in the matter today, yet the temperature regime and free water running through the snowpack is just too much to bear. Avalanches are expected again on many aspects and elevations. Avoid being on or beneath steep terrain today.

***Special Note on runout zones - We have a historic amount of snow in the mountains which means that avalanches could run further than anyone has seen. Some of these avalanches will continue to hit roads, trail heads, and summer hiking trails low on the slopes. Avoidance is the best tactic to deal with these avalanches.

Photo below of wet avalanche debris across the Rock Canyon trail at 5700' elevation above Provo. (pc: Champenois). This occurred yesterday morning at 630AM.

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Huge cornices are sensitive to warming temperatures and can trigger an avalanche on the slope below.

Historically, cornice fall has resulted in the death of 6 individuals in Utah since 1940.

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Glide avalanches are extremely dangerous and destructive as the entire season's snow avalanches to the ground. Continued warm temperatures and water greasing rocky bed surfaces have opened up glide cracks throughout the range. One full depth glide avalanche on the Raymond slabs in Porter Fork of Mill Creek released yesterday (Ambler pic below).

Because of how much snow we have had this season I would keep an eye out for glide avalanches in zones that don't normally see glide cracks, like Elk Point on Timpanogos. We have had accidents and fatalities involving Glide Avalanches in the past.

April 28, 2001

Feb 10, 2013

General Announcements

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This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

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