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Forecast for the Provo Area Mountains

Greg Gagne
Issued by Greg Gagne on
Friday morning, March 28, 2025
The avalanche danger will rise to MODERATE on most slopes where wet, loose avalanches can be expected, especially at the low and mid-elevations. Larger wet slab avalanches are also possible. Upper-elevation northerly aspects have a LOW danger.
Timing is everything: once the slope you are on or below becomes soft and unsupportable, move to a cooler, supportable aspect.
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Weather and Snow
Conditions are all time(!) ....... if you are drawn to the backcountry to seek solitude.
This Morning: Temperatures are in the mid 30's F Winds are from the south/southwest and gusted to ~50 mph overnight at the upper elevations, but have relaxed and are now gusting in the 20's mph.
Today: Mostly cloudy skies with temperatures rising into the low and mid 40's F. Winds will be from the southwest, gusting into the 20's mph above 9,000', with gusts in the 30's at the highest elevations. There is a chance of a few rain and snow showers late this afternoon.
Overnight and into Saturday: Cooler temperatures and snow developing Saturday afternoon, with 2-4" of new snow by late Saturday. A break on Sunday, with a more substantial storm for late Monday. The first week of April looks active with a return to winter.
Recent Avalanches
Wet, loose avalanches were reported on Thursday, including a large wet avalanche in Coalpit Gulch in the Salt Lake mountains on a low-elevation northerly aspect.
Dave Kelly was in American Fork on Thursday and he describes managing travel as the snowpack warmed during the day.
Observations and Avalanches
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Avalanche Problem #1
Wet Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
I'm uncertain how our wet snowpack will react today as it will depend upon cloud cover, winds, and temperatures. Cooler temperatures and winds have cooled the snowpack, but natural and human-triggered avalanches involving wet snow can be expected. The specific wet snow issues for today are:
1. Wet loose avalanches on all aspects, especially at the low and mid elevations where the "refreeze" is less prominent.
2. Wet slab avalanches - particularly on aspects facing west/south/east at the low and mid elevations - where meltwater may "pool" and weaken the snow at various crust interfaces.
3. Cornices may collapse naturally, possibly triggering an avalanche on the slope below. (See photo)
4. Roofs may naturally release their snow - please keep kids, other people, and animals away from underneath steep roof lines.
Photo of a wet avalanche triggered from a natural cornice fall:
General Announcements
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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