SAVE THE DATES!

Saturday, December 6 - 18th Annual Utah Snow and Avalanche Workshop (USAW). This session will be held in-person at the Wasatch Jr High School Auditorium. 3750 S 3100 E, Salt Lake City, UT 84109. Information and tickets are available here.

We are on tap for a change in the weather.

The devil, as always, is in the details and the models are all over the place. I will say, that, broadly, it looks like an active weather pattern; it's just that the storms appear to develop and then split before reaching the Wasatch. Still, it does look like we'll see periods of storminess, starting Sunday, Sunday afternoon. I wouldn't be surprised to see a rogue shower here or two before then but even then I'd expect to see precipitation fall as light rain to the ridgelines until later Sunday eve. Perhaps another - colder - storm early/mid week and another later in the weekend. But it's the split feature of the storms as they shear apart or dive south and become cut-off from the main flow. It's a lot like in Peanuts where Lucy holds the football for Charlie Brown. You'll see a screen capture below of the Friday Ensemble for precipitation in the Ben Lomond area in the north fork. Lots of spaghetti = lots of uncertainty. Still, over the long run it looks like we'll see some precipitation. In the meantime, it'll be mostly cloudy to overcast, warm and windy until late weekend, early next week.

Snow conditions are grim. In general, the only areas that hold moth-eaten patches ofsnow are the northerly aspects of the highest elevations. There are at most a couple inches on the ground and it's a classic early season mess of crusts and facets, and probably just damp right now. Everything else is dirt. This may be a good thing - we are not building a weak foundation for our winter snowpack.

McKinley Talty has some photos of the coverage in the Ogden mountains here.