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Forecast for the Ogden Area Mountains

Trent Meisenheimer
Issued by Trent Meisenheimer on
Sunday morning, December 28, 2025

Today, we have a MODERATE avalanche danger for three avalanche problems. On all mid- and upper-elevation slopes, expect new snow dry-loose avalanches (sluffs). Across all upper elevations, watch for and avoid wind-drifted slopes. Finally, on steep mid- and upper-elevation slopes facing west through north and east, a buried persistent weak layer remains, and it is possible to trigger a slab avalanche 1–2 feet deep.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow

Under clearing skies, mountain temperatures have finally turned cold, ranging from 3 to 10 °F, with wind chills well below zero. Along upper-elevation ridgelines, winds from the northwest are blowing 10–20 mph, with gusts reaching into the 20s and 30s. Storm totals range from 4–10 inches of new snow, containing 0.40–1.35 inches of snow water equivalent. The storm appears to have favored Powder Mountain.

Today, skies will continue to clear, with afternoon temperatures only reaching the low to mid-20s °F. The northwest wind will persist across upper-elevation terrain, blowing 10–20 mph as the storm exits the stadium.

I hate to say it, but today is shaping up to be the best day of the season so far. Cold temperatures, sunshine, a supportable Christmas crust with 4–10 inches of new snow on top make for decent riding... at least for this year.

Recent Avalanches

Snow safety teams report pockets of wind-drifted snow across upper elevations. No other avalanches were reported. Find all observations HERE.

Avalanche Problem #1
New Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Roughly 4–10 inches of new snow sit on top of a firm, supportable crust from the Christmas rain event. In steep, sustained terrain, this allows the new snow to run fast and far as loose dry avalanches (sluffs).

Manage this problem by making deliberate slope cuts, traveling one at a time, and planning safe pull-outs where sluff can pass without knocking you off your skis, board, or sled. Always keep the sluff in view and avoid allowing it to build volume above terrain traps or in steep, sustained terrain.

Avalanche Problem #2
Wind Drifted Snow
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

Northwest wind of 10–20 mph has likely created shallow drifts of wind-blown snow across upper-elevation terrain. These drifts will be most common on leeward slopes and near ridgelines, rollovers, and rock features. Human-triggered soft slabs of wind-drifted snow are possible, with depths up to about a foot, and could run fast and far on the slick crust below.

Watch for signs of wind loading, such as smooth, rounded pillows or stiff, hollow-feeling snow, and avoid freshly drifted slopes.

Avalanche Problem #3
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

The snowpack remains shallow, spatially variable, and structurally complex, and I do not trust it yet. Extended Column Tests continue to show propagation (see video).

In mid- and upper-elevation wind-loaded terrain, human-triggered avalanches remain possible, with slab avalanches 1–2 feet deep failing on a buried persistent weak layer. Use conservative terrain selection, avoid steep wind-loaded slopes with thin or variable snow, and, as always, travel one at a time in avalanche terrain.

General Announcements

This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.