Forecast for the Ogden Area Mountains

Drew Hardesty
Issued by Drew Hardesty for
Thursday, March 21, 2019
Most terrain has a LOW avalanche danger. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features. If we see more snow than expected, look for sluffing or pockety wind drifts in the storm snow...and the danger will rise accordingly.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements
The latest blog-casts are out -
Shame and the Social Contract - (this is a short one - 10 minutes)
Stacking the Deck (A Hindsight 20/40 story - this is a shorter one - 5 minutes)
Weather and Snow
Skies are mostly cloudy becoming overcast ahead of the first of two loosely organized storm systems to affect the state through Sunday. Mountain temperatures are in the low 30s; the southeasterlies continue to blow 25-30mph with gusts to 45 but should lose steam as the storm moves overhead. The heat wave dropped snow coverage to just below 100" on many of the mountain snow stakes but we should pick up enough through the weekend the crest the century mark once again.
The idea that the Inuit have many words for snow is generally attributed to the linguist and anthropologist Franz Boas based upon his research on Baffin Island before, and just after, the turn of the century. Examples included aput, expressing snow on the ground; another one, qana, falling snow; a third one, piqsirpoq, drifting snow; and a fourth one, qimuqsuq, referring to a snowdrift proper.* Current snow conditions in english are otherwise unprintable in this polite company. But conditions should improve with a few inches here and there that may add up to a foot through Sunday.
Recent Avalanches
No reports of avalanche activity yesterday.
Breaking News - 8am
A skier was caught and carried 200' and deployed his airbag in a small sluff avalanche in the radical terrain in Taylor Canyon in the Snowbasin backcountry. It was on a northeast aspect at 7400'. He was uninjured.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
While the snowpack is generally stable, remember that even small avalanches during general LOW danger conditions can be hazardous in extreme terrain.
Dry sluffing may occur if we see more snow than expected but this should be manageable through awareness and proper slope angle selection.
Shallow and pockety wind drifts may still be found on isolated terrain features.
Cornices are too large to tangle with or try to intentionally trigger. Avoid these monsters.
Additional Information
* At the 2004 International Snow Science Workshop in Jackson, the long time ski guide Roger Atkins (before he turned his back on the Wasatch in favor of working for Canadian Mtn Holidays in BC) presented An Avalanche Characterization Checklist for Backcountry Travel Decisions as a way to steer practitioners toward a common language in describing avalanche character, or problems. This was foundational to us at the Utah Avalanche Center (and eventually all avalanche centers) to build our forecasts around avalanche problem types and the use of icons back in 2005. From Franz Boas in the early 1900s...to Roger Atkins in the early 2000s...all part of our history of understanding and communicating about snow and avalanches.
General Announcements
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.