Forecast: Ogden Area Mountains - Utah Avalanche Center

Forecast for the Ogden Area Mountains

Issued by Trent Meisenheimer for
Sunday, December 4, 2022

Today we have a CONSIDERABLE avalanche danger on all mid and upper-elevation steep slopes where hard slabs of snow can break 1-3' deep and hundreds of feet wide, failing on a persistent weak layer of faceted snow. Avalanches can be triggered remotely (from a distance) and travel long distances into the flats.

My Advice: Back off steep terrain and ride slopes less than 30° in steepness with nothing steep above or adjacent to you.

Low

Moderate

Considerable

High

Extreme

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Join the Utah Avalanche Center and the Utah Division of Outdoor Recreation to celebrate the Fourth Annual Avalanche Awareness week from December 4 - December 11. Click HERE to view the full list of events for the week.

Weather and Snow

The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Weather Advisory from 6:00 PM Sunday to 9:00 PM Monday, where we could see 6-12 inches of new snow.

This morning, under mostly cloudy skies, the mountain temperatures range from 25-31 °F. Current ridgetop winds are blowing from the southwest at speeds of 15-25 mph with gusts into the low 30's. Ogden peak is humming along at 30-35 mph gusting into the 40's.

Today, you can expect partly to mostly cloudy skies and temperatures rising into the low 30's °F. Winds will remain southerly and increase throughout the day as they usher in a cold front currently stalled around the Utah/Idaho border. Southerly winds are forecasted to reach speeds of 20-30 mph, gusting into the 30's & 40's across the upper-elevation terrain.

Recent Avalanches

Backcountry observers continue to report large and dangerous avalanches, and many note cracking and collapsing on nearly every step they take. Check out all the recent avalanches HERE, as there are too many to list. Snow safety teams continue to trigger avalanches with explosives that are large enough to catch, carry, bury, and or kill a person.

Yesterday there was a report of a party that triggered a slab avalanche failing on faceted snow adjacent to Snowbasin in the backcountry. Details are limited, but it sounds large enough to bury a person. Luckily nobody was caught.

Type

Location

Likelihood

Size

Description

We had roughly 16 days of clear and cold weather in November, where our snowpack became weaker each day/night, creating a layer of weak faceted snow called a Persistent Weak Layer. This weak layer was buried on the 27th of November on almost all aspects and elevations throughout the mountains. Strong southerly winds and new snowfall over the past few days have overloaded this persistent weak layer, and we are now seeing deep and dangerous avalanches.

These avalanches are not to be taken lightly as they will break 1-3' feet deep and up to 300' wide (perhaps wider). These avalanches can be triggered from a distance (remotely) and can travel long distances downhill into the flats.

Video: Greg Gagne in Powder Mountain Backcountry.

Type

Location

Likelihood

Size

Description

Strong southerly winds over the past few days have changed the landscape where some slopes were stripped to dirt and others are drifted, with 1-3' deep (or deeper) hard slabs of snow sitting above a persistent weak layer of faceted snow. This has complicated the mountains as there is a huge amount of variability across the terrain.

Backcountry terrain where the wind has drifted or will continue to drift the snow into dense, hard slabs will be the most dangerous areas as the avalanche will likely break wider and deeper into the snowpack, creating a much larger and more dangerous avalanche (read above).

General Announcements

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This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

Observations and Avalanches

Backcountry Emergency Procedures