Forecast for the Ogden Area Mountains

Greg Gagne
Issued by Greg Gagne for
Monday, January 14, 2019
The avalanche danger is generally LOW, but recent avalanche activity is a reminder that avalanches are still possible. There remains the isolated chance for triggering an avalanche that breaks 1-2' deep into faceted snow, especially at the mid and upper elevations. The most likely place to trigger an avalanche would be in steep, wind loaded, unsupported terrain, that faces northwest through southeast. Continue to approach recent wind drifted slopes with caution, and consider the consequences of getting caught in any slide.

Safe travel protocol is key: make a plan, communicate, ride slopes one-at-a-time, and keep eyes on your partner at all times.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Weather and Snow
Skies are partly cloudy and a temperature inversion with mid and upper elevation temperatures in the 20's F, but in the teens in lower, elevation drainage bottoms. Winds are out of the south/southeast, and have increased somewhat overnight. They are currently averaging 5-15 mph, with gusts into the 20’s and low 30’s at some mid and upper elevation stations.
Another day of beautiful - albeit boring - weather with mountain temperatures in the 20's and low 30's F. Winds will be out of the south/southeast, and generally light, with some gusts in the 20's mph along upper elevation exposed ridges. Skies will be mostly sunny, with a few high clouds passing by from time to time. We can expect to return to a more active weather pattern beginning Tuesday.
The recent spell of clear weather has weakened the snow surface, with several Ogden-area observers finding a fine crop of feathery surface hoar crystals growing in the low and mid elevations. These crystals are beautiful to observe, but very dangerous if buried. With snow likely this coming week, we will want to watch if this layer gets buried by any storm snow. (Photo Jonathan Melton)
Recent Avalanches
There were no avalanches reported from the Ogden area mountains on Sunday. Further south, a skier-triggered avalanche occurred on Mill Canyon Peak in American Fork Canyon. This was on east-facing slope at 9200'. This slope had been wind-loaded, and the slide broke down 18-36" deep and an estimated 125' wide, likely failing on a layer of faceted snow that formed the first few days of January. The slide was triggered by the 5th skier on the slope, but fortunately no one was caught or carried.
Although it has been quiet in the Ogden mountains, there were two close calls on Saturday to our south and north. One was on the Skyline as a rider triggered a large slab avalanche that was on a heavily wind loaded slope (observation), and another in the Logan area mountains (observation). Both occurred on wind-loaded slopes that had previous tracks, failing in weaker faceted snow.
You can find observations from the Ogden mountains by clicking here.
Ad
Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The various faceted layers in our snowpack are mostly dormant and are adjusting to the load of snow and wind from early last week. However, as evidenced by the skier-triggered wind slab avalanche in American Fork Canyon on Sunday, avalanches remain possible. The areas of biggest concern are wind-loaded slopes at the mid and upper elevations that face northwest through southeast where the wind slabs are sitting on top of weak, faceted snow. Notice the rounded pillow of snow in the photo below (Hardesty/Wilson/Pine) - illustrating a wind-drifted slope.
Safety in avalanche terrain (admittedly a very generous relative term) always goes back to the basics, and one simple rule is avoid the structure of strong snow over weak snow. This past weekend my partners and I were able to enjoy riding some steep lines on northerly aspects at the mid and upper elevations. But we constantly evaluated each slope, looking for the presence of a stronger slab (such as a hard wind drift) on top of weaker faceted snow. On one instance where we found this structure, we simply moved on to different slope where this structure was absent.
Additional Information
On Saturday my regular touring partners and I decided to skip a run and instead use the time to practice companion rescue techniques. This included beacon searches and strategic shoveling. Time yourselves, and improve with each time you practice. You are accountable to your partners, and those waiting when you return home. Unsure of how to conduct a rescue or feeling a bit rusty, take a companion rescue course!
General Announcements
This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.