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Forecast for the Moab Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Sunday morning, November 30, 2025
An approaching storm may bring enough snow for the first bump in avalanche danger later today and into Monday. The most likely areas to find trouble will be on steep, northerly facing slopes near and above tree line where fresh deposits of new and wind drifted snow accumulate on top of pre-existing, weak surface snow. Overall coverage is quite thin and the avalanche danger will be largely isolated to areas with the deepest and most continuous snow cover. Avoid fetch areas such as gullies and depressions that have recent deposits of wind drifted snow.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements

SAVE THE DATES

Wednesday, December 3 - Don't miss our free Know Before You Go avalanche awareness talk at the Moab Arts and Recreation Center, 111 E 100 N at 5:30 p.m.

Saturday, December 6 - 18th Annual Utah Snow and Avalanche Workshop (USAW). This session will be held in-person at the Wasatch Jr High School Auditorium. 3750 S 3100 E, Salt Lake City, UT 84109. Information and tickets are available here.

Saturday, December 13 - Winter Kick Off Party Bring your skis or board to wax, listen to live music, and bring in another winter season with our local community. Tickets available online now!

Weather and Snow
The jet stream is currently digging southward across the Great Basin bringing snowfall to the northern mountains. By this afternoon we should start to see snow in our area lasting through around midnight tonight. I'm thinking we might see 6 inches out of this. Look for increasing southwest winds ahead of the system with high temperatures at 10,000' in the low to mid 20's. Tomorrow should be mostly sunny. A second, but less impressive shortwave is scheduled for mid week.
General Conditions
Overall snow cover is thin with about 10 inches on the ground at 10,000' and up to 20 inches as you approach 11,000' and above. It's not enough for off-trail skiing and riding, and 6 inches of new snow, though welcome, won't quite put us in there. Field work performed last week indicated that the pre-existing snow was beginning to facet and weaken, especially near the surface, and I anticipate this will become our future weak layer when we put snow on top.
In the video below, Dave Garcia discusses the state of the snowpack from mid-last week.

Conditions are quite thin as evidenced in the photo below.

Snowpack and Weather Data
Gold Basin SNOTEL site (10,000')
SNOTEL site near Geyser Pass Winter Trailhead (9600')
Wind Station on Pre-Laurel Peak (11,400')
NWS forecast for the La Sal Mountains.
Additional Information

It's never too early to start thinking about avalanches. Here are a few things to consider doing:

  • Learn online. We have over 5 hours of free online learning at the Know Before You Go website
  • Check out the upcoming in-person Know Before You Go events HERE
  • Sign up for an on-snow class
  • Check out the UAC's education progression HERE
  • Get your avalanche rescue gear ready for winter. Put fresh batteries in your transceiver and update the firmware. Inspect your shovel and probe. Get your airbag backpack ready by possibly doing a test deployment and updating the firmware if it is an electric version or getting your canister refilled if it's not electronic.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.