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Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath for
Thursday, March 21, 2019
The avalanche danger will rise to CONSIDERABLE today as blowing and drifting snow create unstable conditions, primarily at upper elevations on slopes that face NW-N-E.
As snow pile up there will also be MODERATE danger for avalanches involving the new snow on steep slopes on all aspects. There also remains a small chance for triggering a slide that breaks deep in the snowpack on a buried, persistent weak layer. You would most likely encounter this problem on very steep, northerly facing slopes.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Weather and Snow
Skies are cloudy, SE winds are cranking in the 30's along ridge tops and 9,000' temps are right around freezing. A slow moving low pressure system will churn through the 4 Corners region today. We should see heavy snowfall this morning with a lull this afternoon as the first shortwave exits the area. A second wave will move through this evening bringing another round of snow tonight, and lingering into Friday morning. We could see up to a foot of snow today. SSE winds today will average 20-25 mph along ride tops with gusts into the 30's. High temps at 10,000' will be in the mid 30's.
The snowpack in the Abajos is very deep. Snow depths near 10,000 feet range from 7 feet to 11 feet.
Snotel totals at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snotel totals at Camp Jackson (8858')
Wind, temperature, and humidity on Abajo Peak (11,000')
National Weather Service point forecast.
Additional Information
Carry appropriate rescue gear: beacon, probe, shovel, and choose where you ride based on the avalanche forecast for the day!
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This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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