Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Sunday morning, December 28, 2025

Human triggered avalanches are unlikely but small avalanches may be possible on isolated terrain features or in areas of extreme terrain.

Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
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Special Announcements

SAVE THE DATES!

Friday, January 30 - Saturday, January 31 - Moab Backcountry 101 Class - Our annual local backcountry avalanche class. Click here for information and registration. Moab and Monticello locals can use the discount code MOAB-LOCAL for a 10% discount.

Weather and Snow
NWS forecast for the Abajo Mountains.
Wind speed and direction on Abajo Peak.
Snow totals and temps at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals and temps at Camp Jackson (8858')
Abajo Observations
I took a trip up to Abajo Peak to de-rime the wind station on Saturday, December 27 (read my complete observation here). After two weeks of record warm temperatures at 20°F+ degrees above normal, S-SW aspects are mostly melted out down to bare ground. Spotty snow cover remains on more sheltered SE and W aspects. NW-N-E facing slopes have anywhere from 6" at 9000' and 20-24" at 11,000'. Rain to above 11,000 feet on Christmas Day crusted over all surfaces and a thick coat of rime covers the trees. The entire snowpack below the rain crust consists of loose, sugary, faceted grains. This unstable base is currently lacking a slab and human triggered avalanches are unlikely.
Additional Information

It's never too early to start thinking about avalanches. Here are a few things to consider doing:

  • Learn online. We have over 5 hours of free online learning at the Know Before You Go website
  • Check out the upcoming in-person Know Before You Go events HERE
  • Sign up for an on-snow class
  • Check out the UAC's education progression HERE
  • Get your avalanche rescue gear ready for winter. Put fresh batteries in your transceiver and update the firmware. Inspect your shovel and probe. Get your airbag backpack ready by possibly doing a test deployment and updating the firmware if it is an electric version or getting your canister refilled if it's not electronic.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.