UDOT PLANNED AVALANCHE CLOSURES!!

Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath for
Thursday, January 12, 2023
Special Announcements
It is still possible to trigger an avalanche in the Abajos. Avoid steep, wind drifted terrain.
Weather and Snow
NWS Forecast for the Abajo Mountains
Snow totals and temps at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals and temps at Camp Jackson (8858')

Snowpack Summary and General Conditions
We haven't received any current information on the Abajo snowpack but the range has picked up about five inches of new snow this week. Winds have blown and drifted the recent snow into fresh slabs. These recent deposits. of wind drifted snow are the primary concern, but an avalanche triggered in wind drifted snow has the potential to step down into a buried persistent weak layer. Avoiding steep, wind drifted slopes is the best strategy for now.
Two feet of heavy wet snow fell in the Abajos over New Year's weekend. Prior to this storm, the Abajo range had a shallow, weak snowpack with facets near the ground. The heavy snow buried this weak snowpack structure and produced a round of natural avalanche activity. Last week Dave got eyes on some big avalanches that occurred on East aspects. These slides took out the entire season snowpack running on a hard crust at the ground. Stability tests continue to produce failures on this same weak layer. Slopes that face NW-N-NE-E will be the most dangerous, but the overall snowpack in the Abajos remains weak and precarious. Stick to low angle slopes and meadows if you are out recreating in the mountains.
For more details see this report from my tour on Thursday 1/5.
This short video clip shows the full track of an avalanche that overran the switchbacks on the summer road up North Creek. The debris piled up in the creek bed at the bottom. This road is a popular route for snowmobiles.
The avalanche in the video failed on facets on top of a hard crust at the ground. The weak layer of facets is represented by the red line in this photo. It is easy to see how an avalanche failing on this layer would take out the entire season's snowpack, resulting in a deep and deadly avalanche.
Additional Information
If you are getting out in the backcountry, we'd love to hear what you're seeing. Please submit observations here. For the most recent snowpack observations click here. You can also send an email to [email protected] or give me a call with anything noteworthy, especially avalanches! 801-647-8896
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.