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Forecast for the Moab Area Mountains

Dave Garcia
Issued by Dave Garcia on
Wednesday morning, December 24, 2025
Most terrain has generally LOW danger. Small avalanches on isolated terrain features are possible. This time of year, small avalanches can take you for a rough and rocky ride given our shallow early-season snowpack. Conditions remain very thin, and rocks, stumps, and logs lurk below the surface everywhere. Exercise extreme caution getting around.
With a storm on our doorstep, be alert to changing conditions and the potential for increasing avalanche danger in the coming days.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Special Announcements

Geyser Pass Road Conditions: The road is a mix of dry dirt down low with sections of packed snow and ice up high. All wheel drive and good tires are recommended.

Grooming: Trails were last groomed on Saturday.

Friday, January 30 - Saturday, January 31 - Moab Backcountry 101 Class - Our annual local backcountry avalanche class. Click here for information and registration. Moab and Monticello locals can use the discount code MOAB-LOCAL for a 10% discount.

Weather and Snow

24 Hour Snow: 0" 72 Hour Snow: 0" Season Total Snow: 21" Depth at Gold Basin: 14"

Winds on Pre-Laurel Peak: S 25-30 G 38 Temp: 37° F

Weather

Under scattered clouds, it is still quite warm in Gold Basin with a temperature of 37°F this morning. Skies will become mostly cloudy, with temperatures hovering around the mid-30s°F. Winds will blow out of the south at 15-20 MPH, with gusts reaching up to 35 MPH. There is a 30% chance of precipitation today, with little to no accumulation expected. The rain/snow line could be as high as 10,000 feet. The bulk of the precipitation is expected tomorrow afternoon. Even so, mountain temperatures will remain warm, and the rain/snow line will be around 9,000 feet on Thursday. 1 -3 inches of accumulation is expected on Thursday afternoon. Winds out of the south will remain elevated throughout the storm, averaging 15-25 MPH with gusts up to 40 MPH. Expect a slight lull in the weather on Friday, with another push of moisture coming Friday evening. Temperatures are expected to drop on Friday night into Saturday, and we could see additional light accumulations on Saturday. We'll have a better idea of the weekend storm by Friday's update.

General Conditions

Today is a good day to finish up your last-minute holiday shopping and gift wrapping. Hopefully, we get a decent refresh for the weekend. The snow surface has taken quite a beating. It has been over three weeks since our last accumulating snowfall, and during that time, we have seen strong winds from all directions, plenty of sunshine, and record warm temperatures. Many solar aspects are melted down to the rocks and are no longer skiable. High elevation northerlies have been stripped by the wind, but out of the wind zone, polar aspects are still holding 12-24 inches of snow. The recent warm temperatures and thin cloud cover have caused the surface snow on these slopes to gain just the slightest bit of density. However, the snowpack is still made up entirely of facets. This structure is likely to become our next persistent weak layer problem. It appears the Christmas storm will not drop enough snow to create a slab, but backcountry travelers should be alert to changing conditions. This is our first storm in quite some time, and the avalanche danger can increase with just a few inches of snow and moderate to strong winds.

Eric has a nice video describing the snowpack ahead of the incoming storm.

Snowpack and Weather Data

Recent Avalanches
No recent activity has been observed. Click here for the complete avalanche database.
Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

The overall danger is low, and normal caution is advised. It is important to remember that low danger and normal caution is not an “anything goes” situation. Continue to keep your guard up and look for any signs of snow instability. Evaluate snow and weather conditions as you travel. Slab distribution is spotty at best, but prudent backcountry travelers will continue to look for and avoid slabs over weak layers, especially in steep, radical terrain. Even a small avalanche could cause season-ending injuries due to our very shallow and rocky early-season snowpack.

Additional Information

It's never too early to start thinking about avalanches. Here are a few things to consider doing:

  • Learn online. We have over 5 hours of free online learning at the Know Before You Go website
  • Check out the upcoming in-person Know Before You Go events HERE
  • Sign up for an on-snow class
  • Check out the UAC's education progression HERE
  • Get your avalanche rescue gear ready for winter. Put fresh batteries in your transceiver and update the firmware. Inspect your shovel and probe. Get your airbag backpack ready by possibly doing a test deployment and updating the firmware if it is an electric version or getting your canister refilled if it's not electronic.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.