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Forecast for the Moab Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Sunday morning, December 21, 2025
Most terrain has generally LOW danger. Small avalanches on isolated terrain features are possible. This time of year small avalanches can take you for a rough and rocky ride given our shallow early-season snowpack.
Conditions remain very thin, and rocks, stumps, and logs lurk below the surface everywhere. Exercise extreme caution getting around.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Special Announcements

Geyser Pass Road Conditions: The road is a mix of dry dirt down low with sections of packed snow and ice up high. All wheel drive and good tires are recommended.

Grooming: Trails have been groomed.

Friday, January 30 - Saturday, January 31 - Moab Backcountry 101 Class - Our annual local backcountry avalanche class. Click here for information and registration. Moab and Monticello locals can use the discount code MOAB-LOCAL for a 10% discount.

Weather and Snow

24 Hour Snow: 0" 72 Hour Snow: 0" Season Total Snow: 21" Depth at Gold Basin: 14"

Winds on Pre-Laurel Peak: S 20 G 30 Temp: 34° F

Weather

High pressure builds over the region for the next couple of days bringing a return to sunny skies and continued record warm temperatures. High temperatures at 10,000 feet today will be in the upper 30's and winds blowing from the southwest will average 20-25 mph along ridge tops. By Christmas Eve, a Pacific trough will begin to move inland finally bringing a chance for much needed precipitation. Southwest flow will keep temperatures very warm and there is still some model disagreement over how this will all play out but keep your fingers crossed for a Christmas miracle. Stay tuned.

General Conditions

It's been a tough couple of weeks on our snowpack and all you need to do is look up from town to see that. In my travels up the Laurel Highway yesterday I found thin, mixed bag snow conditions ranging from solid melt freeze crusts, to wind affected snow, to dense, loose, and faceted snow. The record warm temperatures have melted most south aspects down to bare ground, while strong winds from the northwest have blasted exposed northerly aspects above tree line down the rocks. Sheltered terrain near tree line and below harbors 12-24 inches of faceting snow. It's not what I would call a complete "sandbox" yet, but it is definitely becoming very loose and weak and this will undoubtedly develop into a persistent weak layer problem when we finally get more snow. For more details, read my observation and watch the video below.

Chris Benson was also out braving conditions yesterday up in the high peaks. Read his observation from the south slopes of Mount Tukuhnikivatz and see his video from the summit. It paints a sober picture of our overall snow cover.

Snowpack and Weather Data

NEW! Gold Basin webcam storm stake

Gold Basin Storm Stake (10,000')

Recent Avalanches
No recent activity has been observed. Click here for the complete avalanche database.
Avalanche Problem #1
Normal Caution
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description

The overall danger is low, and normal caution is advised. It is important to remember that low danger and normal caution is not an “anything goes” situation. Continue to keep your guard up and look for any signs of snow instability. Evaluate snow and weather conditions as you travel. Slab distribution is spotty at best, but prudent backcountry travelers will continue to look for and avoid slabs over weak layers, especially in steep, radical terrain. Even a small avalanche could cause season-ending injuries due to our very shallow and rocky early-season snowpack.

Additional Information

It's never too early to start thinking about avalanches. Here are a few things to consider doing:

  • Learn online. We have over 5 hours of free online learning at the Know Before You Go website
  • Check out the upcoming in-person Know Before You Go events HERE
  • Sign up for an on-snow class
  • Check out the UAC's education progression HERE
  • Get your avalanche rescue gear ready for winter. Put fresh batteries in your transceiver and update the firmware. Inspect your shovel and probe. Get your airbag backpack ready by possibly doing a test deployment and updating the firmware if it is an electric version or getting your canister refilled if it's not electronic.
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.