Avalanche Advisory
Advisory: Skyline Area Mountains Issued by Brett Kobernik for Sunday - December 25, 2016 - 6:42am
bottom line

The avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE today. As the snow and wind continue this morning, natural avalanches are possible and human triggered avalanches are likely. Any steep wind loaded slope is suspect today. Things should stabilize fairly quickly after the storm but today is not the day to go play in the big terrain.
current conditions

Yet another impressive storm for the Manti-Skyline. We've picked up 12 to 18" of new snow in the last 24 hours. It is still snowing at 7am. The wind was strong from the southeast on Saturday and has now veered more to the west and slowed a bit but it's still blowing along the ridges. A cold front has moved through and temperatures have dropped into the teens. Travel on the snow will be difficult today due to so much new snow.

recent activity

I did not see any new avalanches on Saturday however the wind and visibility did not allow for good travel. My partner and I did experience some localized cracking under some recently formed wind and sun crusts. With more snow loaded on top of these areas, especially in the wind zone, a person could trigger a decent size avalanche today.
Avalanche Problem 1
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

The southeast wind Saturday and the west wind today will produce the biggest avalanche concern out there today. Fresh drifts on various facing slopes are likely to be sensitive.
weather

Anticipate cloudy skies, snow, gusty west ridgetop wind, and temperatures dropping into the single digits today. Snowfall will start to taper off as the day progresses. I'm anticipating another 3 to 6 inches of snow today but more is possible. The storm moves out tonight and into Monday. It looks like a couple of clear days Monday and Tuesday.
general announcements

We will publish full detailed advisories Saturday and Sunday mornings by 7am. We will also be publishing basic avalanche danger ratings & info during the week.

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