Avalanche Advisory
Advisory: Ogden Area Mountains Issued by Drew Hardesty for Sunday - December 25, 2016 - 7:08am
bottom line

Let's keep it simple. The danger will spike to HIGH with the additional snow and wind today. The danger will be most pronounced at the mid and upper elevations on many aspects. Natural and human triggered avalanches are expected. Those without excellent avalanche and route-finding skill should avoid being in or beneath steep terrain. You can enjoy the Greatest Snow on Earth in our world class mountain resorts.




special announcement

Discount lift tickets for Beaver Mountain, Snowbasin, Powder Mountain, and the Central Wasatch resorts are now available, donated by the resorts to benefit the Utah Avalanche Center. Details and order information here. These make a great holiday gift and all proceeds go towards paying for avalanche forecasting and education!

UDOT's draft backcountry closure policy can be found here and comments are welcome through January 6th.

current conditions

A white Christmas indeed. Storm totals as of 5am are 10-15" from Snowbasin to Ben Lomond to Powder Mountain. Winds, ferocious out of the south and southeast yesterday, are now west to northwesterly, blowing 20-30mph with gusts into the 40s. Lastly, in the spirit of Christmas, remember to give a handshake, hug, or high-five to the public safety folks out there: plow drivers, UDOT and ski area workers, etc. Drive safe -

recent activity

Yesterday's fierce, swirling winds littered the landscape with drifts up to 1- 2' deep. Avalanche teams and backcountry observers noted - and intentionally triggered -wind slabs on many aspects (including west to northwest aspects), in cross-loaded gullies, mid-slope break-overs, and around other terrain features.

I have a new blog post on the Birthday Chutes avalanche in Little Cottonwood Canyon from last Monday - #Nothing Bad Happened. Happy reading.

Avalanche Problem 1
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

Plan on wind slabs on top of wind slabs. Yesterday's strong south to southeast winds littered the landscape with soft and hard drifts that haven't yet settled out. With frontal passage, the winds are now out of the west and northwest with near-perfect speeds for wind-loading. While yesterday's drifts were manageable and fairly predictable for professionals and highly experienced backcountry riders, they'll be too deep and unpredictable when you lump the two together today. Wind slabs may be up to 2'+ deep and a couple hundred feet wide. It may also be possible to trigger wind drifts at a distance during periods of heavy snowfall and drifting.

Cracking and collapsing are sure-fire indicators of instability....but the lack of same will not necessarily indicate stability. Get it? Today's buried hard wind slabs may resist the standard bag of tricks as cornice drops and ski cuts can be ineffective at best, misleading at worst.

Ever growing cornices should be avoided with care. Don't get suckered out to a blind edge - the arcing wind whale may calve off behind you.

Avalanche Problem 2
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

The new storm snow should be quite sensitive to human interaction with natural avalanches possible during periods of high snowfall intensity. Avoid being in and below steep confined terrain where avalanche debris piles may pile up deeply.

Avalanche Problem 3
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

Sleeping giants tend to re-awaken during periods of high stress and heavy loading events. New snow avalanches may step down into a myriad of here-to-fore mostly stable mid and basal pack layers, resulting in a much large, potentially unsurvivable avalanche.

weather

Snowfall - heavy at times - should continue throughout the day with the potential for up to an additional 4-8" in favored locations. The west to northwest winds will blow 15-25mph along the high ridgelines. Temperatures will be in the single digits and low teens. The storm should wind down this evening with some clearing for tomorrow into early Tuesday. A weak but potentially windy storm arrives later Tuesday into Wednesday that should deliver a few more inches of snow.

general announcements

Remember your information can save lives. If you see anything we should know about, please help us out by submitting snow and avalanche conditions. You can also call us at 801-524-5304, email by clicking HERE, or include #utavy in your tweet or Instagram.

To get help in an emergency (to request a rescue) in the Wasatch, call 911. Be prepared to give your GPS coordinates or the run name. Dispatchers have a copy of the Wasatch Backcountry Ski map.

Backcountry Emergencies. It outlines your step-by-step method in the event of a winter backcountry incident.

If you trigger an avalanche in the backcountry, but no one is hurt and you do not need assistance, please notify the nearest ski area dispatch to avoid a needless response by rescue teams. Thanks.

EMAIL ADVISORY If you would like to get the daily advisory by email you will need to subscribe here.‚Äč

DAWN PATROL Hotline updated daily by 5-530am - 888-999-4019 option 8.

TWITTER Updates for your mobile phone - DETAILS

UDOT canyon closures: LINK TO UDOT, or on Twitter, follow @UDOTavy, @CanyonAlerts or @AltaCentral

Utah Avalanche Center mobile app - Get your advisory on your iPhone along with great navigation and rescue tools.

Powderbird Helicopter Skiing - Blog/itinerary for the day

Lost or Found something in the backcountry? - http://nolofo.com/

Ski Utah mobile snow updates

To those skinning uphill at resorts: it is critical to know the resort policy on uphill travel. You can see the uphill travel policy for each resort here.

Benefit the Utah Avalanche Center when you shop from Backcountry.com or REI: Click this link for Backcountry.com or this link to REI, shop, and they will donate a percent of your purchase price to the UAC. Both offer free shipping (with some conditions) so this costs you nothing!

Benefit the Utah Avalanche Center when you buy or sell on ebay - set the Utah Avalanche Center as a favorite non-profit in your ebay account here and click on ebay gives when you buy or sell. You can choose to have your seller fees donated to the UAC, which doesn't cost you a penny.

This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This advisory is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always exist.