Avalanche Advisory
Advisory: Logan Area Mountains Issued by Toby Weed for Monday - November 27, 2017 - 7:00am
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LOW: Backcountry snow is mostly stable and avalanches are unlikely. Shallow, early season snow conditions exist. Use normal caution.




special avalanche bulletin

Please join us for our 14th annual "Pray for Snow" fundraiser/party, Thursday, December 7 at 6 PM. This year's new location is at the new Cache Venue, 119 South Main St in downtown Logan. Go HERE for advance tickets and more information.

current conditions

The Tony Grove Snotel at 8400' reports 45°F this morning and 16" of total snow containing 116% of average SWE (Snow Water Equivalent). Temperatures again stayed well above freezing overnight across the zone, with 32°F this morning at 9700' CSI Logan Peak and 49°F at UDOT Hwy 89 Logan Summit. Record warmth of the past couple days melted a good deal of snow. Clouds, wind, and cooling temperatures will slow the melt today. A splitting storm system is already causing temperatures to drop, and mountain rain should switch over to mostly snow this afternoon. A couple inches of accumulation is possible.

Shallow, early season snow conditions exist, and hitting rocks or stumps is a significant hazard. Travel cautiously and keep your speed down. The Tony Grove Road is not maintained for wheeled travel in the winter, so if you venture up, have all the needed gear, be patient and ready to dig.



recent activity
Avalanche Problem 1
type aspect/elevation characteristics
LIKELIHOOD
LIKELY
UNLIKELY
SIZE
LARGE
SMALL
TREND
INCREASING DANGER
SAME
DECREASING DANGER
over the next 24 hours
description

With only a couple inches of snow forecast in the mountains, the avalanche danger won't change much. Shallow wind slabs may develop on some upper elevation slopes by evening, but these should be easy to identify and avoid. The remaining November snow on most slopes is stable, and avalanches are unlikely. Even so, a ride in even a small avalanche could be particularly dangerous due to potential for being raked through rocks or deadfall below.

weather

A Pacific storm system will cross Utah this afternoon through this evening. High pressure aloft will develop on Tuesday, followed by a fast moving weather disturbance crossing northern Utah Wednesday. Rain showers this morning will change over to mostly snow this afternoon, and 1 to 3 inches are possible. Expect a high temperature around 41°F​, and windy conditions in the mountains, with southwest winds 20 to 25 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Snow showers may continue in the evening with mostly cloudy conditions, then gradually clearing overnight. Low temperatures around 19°F are expected, with northwest winds in the 15 to 20 mph range decreasing to 8 to 13 mph by morning.​​ Tomorrow will be sunny, with high temperatures at 8500' near 36°F​ and north winds becoming light and variable in the afternoon.

A fast moving system will race across northern Utah on Wednesday, and along with wind and cooler temperatures, there's a chance for an inch or so of accumulation. In the long term, there is still some disagreement among the models, but hope is growing for a significant pattern change about a week out. There is good potential for "one of the colder storms the area has seen in weeks."

general announcements

We are offering a Backcountry 101 Avalanche Class on December 12 and 14 in the Logan Area Backcountry.

EMAIL ADVISORY: If you would like to get the daily advisory by email you will need to subscribe here.

Benefit the Utah Avalanche Center when you shop from Backcountry.com or REI: Click this link for Backcountry.com or this link to REI, shop, and they will donate a percent of your purchase price to the UAC. Both offer free shipping (with some conditions) so this costs you nothing!

Benefit the Utah Avalanche Center when you buy or sell on ebay - set the Utah Avalanche Center as a favorite non-profit in your ebay account here and click on ebay gives when you buy or sell. You can choose to have your seller fees donated to the UAC, which doesn't cost you a penny.

Remember your information can save lives. If you see anything we should know about, please help us out by submitting snow and avalanche conditions. You can also call us at 801-524-5304, email by clicking HERE, or include #utavy in your tweet or Instagram.

This advisory is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This advisory describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.