If forecast snow totals verify, we'll see both natural and human triggered avalanches on many aspects AND elevations Tuesday night into Wednesday.

I went looking for the surface facets that formed last week during the cold and clear. On polar aspects, they are buried a couple inches deep beneath the weekend snow and today's snow. The last day or two of warmth and - in some areas - greenhousing has allowed these facets to gain some strength and they do not look as loose as they did. The weakest snow I found today was within the new snow and it was sluffing easily - running fast and far - on steeper slopes.

My greatest uncertainty is with the low elevation structure that similarly holds these faceted grains and I worry that some low elevation avalanche hazard will surprise people unaccustomed to seeing it. The video probably overplays the situation, but it should be on people's radars to view as guilty until innocent.

Photo shows clean layer of faceted grains that are not all that weak on a north facing slope at 9650'. My best guess is that avalanching will occur with the heavy snowfall and wind and may step a few inches into this layering in some areas.