Observation: Middle Fork Weber River

Observation Date
2/28/2021
Observer Name
Staples
Region
Uintas » Upper Weber Canyon » Middle Fork Weber River
Location Name or Route
Middle Fork of Weber River
Weather
Sky
Clear
Wind Speed
Calm
Weather Comments
Clear blue skies. Cold temps to start but they warmed up to near perfect weather.
Avalanche Problem #1
Problem
Persistent Weak Layer
Trend
Decreasing Danger
Problem #1 Comments
The persistent weak layer of sugary facts is easy to find in bottom foot of the snowpack; however,
1) It is generally capped by a very hard supportable slab that is 3 feet thick
2) It has been producing snowpack test (ECT) scores that have been steadily going up. They have been requiring many hard taps from the shoulder.
The most likely places this layer is active are thin shallow areas. Loading since Friday was minimal and the last major load was at Valentines day which was about 2 weeks ago. This layer has adjusted to the load of the Valentine's storm, but I still don't trust. The likelihood of triggering an avalanche on this layer has gone down a lot, but the consequences remain high.
One thing that surprised me was finding very small facets under a crust about 9 inches deep under the new snow that fell Friday/Saturday. With a week of sunshine in the forecast, this layer should get cooked and heal.
Alpine terrain above treeline where the snow is rocky and with many thin spots is where the greatest chance to trigger a slide exists. I triggered shooting cracks in a place where the snow was only about 2 feet deep.
Comments
Photo below of shooting cracks 20-30 feet from the sled. The snowpack was only about 2 feet deep here. We did not see cracking anywhere else today.
Video
Snowpit profile below is from an east aspect at 9,720 ft.
Snowpit profile below is from an south aspect at 10,285 ft.
Danger near treeline was Moderate. Hard to estimate the danger in the alpine but there is widespread evidence of avalanches that happened above treeline following the Valentine's storm. Photo below is of another one we spotted on an ENE aspect just south of Smith and Morehouse Reservoir
Today's Observed Danger Rating
Moderate
Tomorrows Estimated Danger Rating
Moderate
Coordinates