Observation: Snake Creek

Observation Date
1/7/2021
Observer Name
Meisenheimer
Region
Provo » Snake Creek
Location Name or Route
Pioneer Peak to Snake Creek (south facing)
Weather
Sky
Clear
Wind Direction
North
Wind Speed
Calm
Weather Comments
Hot - too hot. Felt more like March. The good news was the sun angle is still low, and it didn't ruin the snow on the SW and SE aspects. The due south took on heat and likely created a small zipper crust.
Snow Characteristics
New Snow Depth
9"
New Snow Density
Low
Snow Surface Conditions
Powder
Damp
Snow Characteristics Comments
Beautiful day to be in the mountains despite the warm temperatures. The snow was powder on all aspects and elevations in the morning, and by late in the day due south-facing terrain was damp. Some roller ball activity was noted.
Red Flags
Red Flags
Recent Avalanches
Wind Loading
Cracking
Collapsing
Poor Snowpack Structure
Red Flags Comments
Avalanche Problem #1
Problem
Persistent Weak Layer
Problem #1 Comments
I saw no natural slab avalanches in the upper BCC/Brighton surroundings in my travels. However, another observer reported a natural avalanche just over the hill from me on an NE facing slope in Caribou Basin. I did see a few small natural sluffs in the steep northerly facing terrain in Snake Creek North.
Snow Profile
Aspect
Southeast
Elevation
10,100'
Slope Angle
25°
Comments
Overall the snowpack structure on southerly facing slopes is something to keep an eye on. Everywhere I traveled there was faceted snow on the southerlies at the upper elevations. Right now there is not much weight on top of the weak layer in the areas I traveled. This could be a different story where wind loaded the slope. If we see a large storm I would imagine southerly facing terrain will also see large connected natural avalanches.
Video
Unfortunetly we have been dealt a bad hand this year, and we need to make the best of it. The snowpack structure is very poor, and slab avalanches will remain the main issue - this will not be going away anytime soon. For me, I don't trust faceted snow at all. Every professional I know has a story of being tricked and or caught in an avalanche, and the weak layer was faceted snow. I've also lost several friends who played the game saying the slab was bridged, or there was no slab, or any other number of excuses I hear experienced people come up with.
The simple fact is the Wasatch will remain dangerous for the foreseeable future, and my strategy will be low angle terrain. Even though I was on a 28° slope yesterday, I still had a blast and enjoyed the new snow with my dad.
Today's Observed Danger Rating
Considerable
Tomorrows Estimated Danger Rating
Considerable
Coordinates