Observation: West Bowl

Observation Date
12/15/2020
Observer Name
R. Kosinski
Region
Salt Lake » Big Cottonwood Canyon » Silver Fork » West Bowl
Location Name or Route
West Bowl
Red Flags
Red Flags
Heavy Snowfall
Cracking
Collapsing
Poor Snowpack Structure
Avalanche Problem #1
Problem
New Snow
Trend
Same
Problem #1 Comments
The new snow is very low density and is sitting on top of facets or crusts in many places. While it has bonded well with the snow below on some aspects, on the north aspects it has not and if the angle is great enough, it is going to run. Furthermore, with more snow in the forecast, it is likely this will create a weak layer which will not support a load on top.
Avalanche Problem #2
Problem
Persistent Weak Layer
Trend
Same
Problem #2 Comments
The PWL is still there but not reactive due to this snow being so low density. It will likely become reactive with future snowfall. The PWL also varies greatly from spot to spot with some places having a crust or wind slab on top.
Comments
Started our tour at 0900 up Emmas which has enough snow to ascend but not descend. We skied multiple runs in West Bowl which showed no signs of instability. Throughout the day, the weather alternated between clear skies, cloudy, and strong snow flurries with a some strong wind at the end of the day. We decided to ascend the north aspect of West Bowl to get over to Davenport to leave. This decision would turn out to be pretty bad as we ascended into terrain primed and ready to avalanche. As we ascended higher, we started to get small cracks. When I moved out towards the north aspect of the bowl, large cracks began to form and collapsing began. I tried to move back to the northeast aspect but the cracking got worse, running up to 100' in both directions from my skis and large collapses began. A spiderweb of fractures appeared and I transitioned to drop lower. While dropping, a 20'x20' area had widespread cracking and moved a couple inches. Looking back, many of the classic psychological traps were there such as not wanting to loose ground, not understanding the significance of changes in slope angle and aspect, seeing tracks on the slope, wanting to get back to the car, being hungry and tired, and not fully recognizing the avalanche problems faced today. It was a serious wake up call to someone who has been skiing a lot of low danger days the last 7 months.
Today's Observed Danger Rating
Considerable
Tomorrows Estimated Danger Rating
Considerable