Observation: Willows

Observation Date
2/5/2019
Observer Name
Bruce Tremper
Region
Salt Lake » Big Cottonwood Canyon » Willows
Location Name or Route
Willow Knob
Weather
Sky
Obscured
Precipitation
Heavy Snowfall
Wind Direction
Southwest
Wind Speed
Strong
Weather Comments
Continuing to work a Pro Level 2 avalanche class, this time in Big Cottonwood Canyon. Yet another day with continued loading and wind. Snow turned from graupel in the morning to various forms of lighter snow in the late morning as the colder air arrived, but continuing heavy snowfall. Wind speeds along the Park City ridgeline was 40 gusting to 70 from the SW but much more tame in lower terrain.
Snow Characteristics
New Snow Depth
10"
New Snow Density
Medium
Snow Surface Conditions
Dense Loose
Snow Characteristics Comments
Despite the continued strong wind along the ridges, the new snow was quite good riding. It was consistent and dense enough to have lots of fun on lower angled, safe terrain. Hard to tell the amount of new snow because it just blends with the non-stop snow for the past couple days and because of the wind. Where we were, I'm guessing there is two or more feet of storm snow with 10 inches of snow in the past 12 hours.
Red Flags
Red Flags
Recent Avalanches
Heavy Snowfall
Wind Loading
Cracking
Poor Snowpack Structure
Red Flags Comments
The number of red flags tell the story. This storm is walloping the snowpack with a lot of weight, especially in wind loaded areas along the ridges. The good news is that there are many areas with very safe conditions with great turning and riding conditions on slopes less steep than 30 degrees and not in places with recent deposits of wind drifted snow. Many of these are on south facing, gentle slopes just above the road so you don't have to go very far. [Forecaster Comment - Readers, take this sage advice from a pro's pro]
Avalanche Problem #1
Problem
Wind Drifted Snow
Trend
Increasing Danger
Problem #1 Comments
We had an avalanche class that dug 15 snowpits on N-NW facing slopes along the ridge of Willow Knob, which is down off the south side of the Park City ridgeline. Although there was strong wind loading along the PC ridgeline, we were barely down out of the wind so there was very little wind loading where we were. During a day with so much avalanche activity, it seemed odd that all our snowpits showed mostly stable snow with no propagation. Yes, we there was a subtle interface between the old and new snow about 60 cm down and there was some old depth hoar on the ground but neither of them had enough new weight on them to make them reactive. In the wind loaded zones, however, there definitely is enough weight. The main avalanche problems seem to be in the heavily wind loaded areas along the ridges and also in the repeater slide paths or ones places with a shallow snowpack that are disproportionally overloaded by this thick layer of dense snow. With snow continuing overnight and on Wednesday, the hazard will likely increase.
Avalanche Problem #2
Problem
Persistent Weak Layer
Trend
Increasing Danger
Problem #2 Comments
Places where the interface between the old and new snow--which had near surface facets and surface hoar--were preserved as the new storm arrived are the suspect slopes for persistent slab avalanches. The tricky part is knowing where they are because the rain at the beginning of the last storm destroyed most of it at elevations below about 8,000' and the warmth and wind made it pockety at higher elevations. But people are occasionally finding pockets and areas with the persistent weak layer preserved. When combined with heavy wind loading, it's a dangerous combination. Repeater avalanche paths have remained thin and allowed depth hoar on the ground to remain weak and it's now reactive when overloaded by the dense, windblown snow.
Today's Observed Danger Rating
High
Tomorrows Estimated Danger Rating
High
Coordinates