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Observation: Snowbasin Backcountry

Observation Date
1/11/2014
Observer Name
Bill Hunt
Region
Ogden » Snowbasin Backcountry
Location Name or Route
Mt Allen
Weather
Sky
Overcast
Precipitation
Moderate Snowfall
Wind Direction
Southeast
Wind Speed
Strong
Weather Comments
Overcast with good visibility early afternoon. Wind picked up later in the afternoon, and was windloading snow considerably.
Snow Characteristics
New Snow Depth
2"
Snow Surface Conditions
Powder
Dense Loose
Red Flags
Red Flags
Wind Loading
Poor Snowpack Structure
Red Flags Comments
I was expecting some cracking, collapsing, or slide activity, given the poor snowpack structure and the avi forecast, but did not see any cracking or movement. Suspecting this is due to the stiff windslab in places, and perhaps to the abundance of rock structure, which the snow is keyed in to.
Avalanche Problem #1
Problem
Persistent Weak Layer
Problem #1 Comments
It appears that this problem won't go away on its own anytime soon, unfortunately.
Comments
My general impression of Mt Allen today was of a rocky minefield with punchy windslab in between the rocks, overlaying a very rotten 20cm layer of faceted snow on the ground. I stayed on belay near a ridge the majority of the afternoon, doing belayed cuts, booting compaction, and a couple pits. The severely faceted layer on the ground was about 20cm thick. Snowpack depth was only 100 to 130 cm in a half dozen probe measurements, and a couple pits. I was a little surprised not to see any cracking or settling. In hindsight this may be because I was at an upper elevation area that gets wind-hammered. A mid-snowpack windslab was so hard that at times I was booting on it, not breaking through. Deep slab instability seemed like a low probability but very high consequence possibility in the areas travelled. Below, a belayed cut that did not produce cracking.
Below, the rotten faceted layer on the ground was about 20cm thick. Total snowpack was less than I expected, ~110cm here. Could not get an ECT to propagate or crack (isolation on the back was not ideal).
Toothy rocks everywhere, showing the thin coverage. Forecaster Note - Bill has been a backcountry rider for nearly 30 years and I appreciate that he is intentional in his snowpack assessment and intimacy with the - more often than not - extreme terrain he chooses to ride in. In other words, he's doing the work.
Today's Observed Danger Rating
Considerable
Tomorrows Estimated Danger Rating
High