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Forecast for the Skyline Area Mountains

Brett Kobernik
Issued by Brett Kobernik on
Tuesday morning, February 13, 2024
The overall danger rating on the Skyline is rated MODERATE.
Human triggered avalanches are possible but not all that likely today.
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Weather and Snow
Current Conditions: Monday provided another great day of sunshine and good riding conditions. East facing slopes took a hit from the sun and will have a crust on them today. I suspect west faces did the same. South heated up the day before. Cold powder remains on northwest, north and northeast facing aspects. Temperatures got up to around 30˚F on Monday and dropped back to around 20˚F overnight. There was a slight breeze on Monday but the wind from the west southwest has really slowed down overnight.
Mountain Weather: We'll see quite a bit of sun this morning with some clouds moving in later today. Temperatures will again get up to around 30˚F. Wind from the southwest will increase slightly. Wednesday looks cloudier and then there's a chance for a few inches of new snow. This system isn't going to do all that much for our region but it looks a little better than it did a few days ago.
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Avalanche Problem #1
Persistent Weak Layer
Type
Location
Likelihood
Size
Description
The snowpack continues to stabilize and the avalanche danger is decreasing as the days go on. There is still weak snow near the base of the snowpack from December. This Persistent Weak Layer is becoming dormant meaning that it is not reactive. It's not gone but probably won't produce avalanches unless we get another significant load of new snow.
I found myself in an area where the snowpack was quite shallow on Monday. It was only about 3' total snow depth. I trenched my sled down to the old sugar. While I was getting it unstuck, my boots were punching through into the old sugar. You want to avoid being on any steep slopes in terrain like this where the snowpack is really shallow.
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This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
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